Trader consensus for Chengdu’s June 18 peak clusters tightly around 30–31 °C (combined ~57 % implied probability) because early-summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin typically produce highs near the long-term average of 29–30 °C. Persistent high humidity and frequent afternoon convective clouds limit surface heating, while the official measurement at the urban station reflects these moderating effects. Recent model runs show only modest differences in solar exposure or timing of showers that could shift the daily maximum by 1 °C either way, keeping adjacent bins competitive. Later in the month, drier subtropical air can push readings above 33 °C, but mid-June climatology and current basin moisture favor the narrower 29–31 °C range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 18?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 18?
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$84,123 交易量
$84,123 交易量
2026-06-18
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$84,123 交易量
$84,123 交易量
2026-06-18
26°C or below
$5,180 交易量
No
27°C
$7,824 交易量
No
28°C
$5,265 交易量
No
29°C
$8,357 交易量
No
30°C
$32,204 交易量
No
31°C
$10,405 交易量
Yes
32°C
$7,765 交易量
No
33°C
$2,989 交易量
No
34°C
$1,814 交易量
No
35°C
$637 交易量
No
36°C or higher
$1,684 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Chengdu’s June 18 peak clusters tightly around 30–31 °C (combined ~57 % implied probability) because early-summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin typically produce highs near the long-term average of 29–30 °C. Persistent high humidity and frequent afternoon convective clouds limit surface heating, while the official measurement at the urban station reflects these moderating effects. Recent model runs show only modest differences in solar exposure or timing of showers that could shift the daily maximum by 1 °C either way, keeping adjacent bins competitive. Later in the month, drier subtropical air can push readings above 33 °C, but mid-June climatology and current basin moisture favor the narrower 29–31 °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 16, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
交易量
$84,123结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 12:23 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Chengdu’s June 18 peak clusters tightly around 30–31 °C (combined ~57 % implied probability) because early-summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin typically produce highs near the long-term average of 29–30 °C. Persistent high humidity and frequent afternoon convective clouds limit surface heating, while the official measurement at the urban station reflects these moderating effects. Recent model runs show only modest differences in solar exposure or timing of showers that could shift the daily maximum by 1 °C either way, keeping adjacent bins competitive. Later in the month, drier subtropical air can push readings above 33 °C, but mid-June climatology and current basin moisture favor the narrower 29–31 °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$84,123结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 12:23 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus for Chengdu’s June 18 peak clusters tightly around 30–31 °C (combined ~57 % implied probability) because early-summer conditions in the Sichuan Basin typically produce highs near the long-term average of 29–30 °C. Persistent high humidity and frequent afternoon convective clouds limit surface heating, while the official measurement at the urban station reflects these moderating effects. Recent model runs show only modest differences in solar exposure or timing of showers that could shift the daily maximum by 1 °C either way, keeping adjacent bins competitive. Later in the month, drier subtropical air can push readings above 33 °C, but mid-June climatology and current basin moisture favor the narrower 29–31 °C range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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