Recent model runs for Chengdu show a likely daily maximum near 33°C on June 19, driven by strong summer heating in the Sichuan Basin, high humidity, and limited cloud cover before possible afternoon convection. Minor differences among 32–34°C outcomes hinge on the exact timing and extent of thundershowers, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C if they develop earlier, versus clearer skies allowing fuller insolation. Regional forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight typical mid-June variability around 28–34°C baselines, with current atmospheric patterns favoring the upper end of that range absent major frontal shifts. Trader sentiment clusters tightly here because resolution hinges on precise observational maxima amid inherent forecast uncertainty in convective regimes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 19?
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$61,945 交易量
$61,945 交易量
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$61,945 交易量
$61,945 交易量
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 17, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Recent model runs for Chengdu show a likely daily maximum near 33°C on June 19, driven by strong summer heating in the Sichuan Basin, high humidity, and limited cloud cover before possible afternoon convection. Minor differences among 32–34°C outcomes hinge on the exact timing and extent of thundershowers, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C if they develop earlier, versus clearer skies allowing fuller insolation. Regional forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight typical mid-June variability around 28–34°C baselines, with current atmospheric patterns favoring the upper end of that range absent major frontal shifts. Trader sentiment clusters tightly here because resolution hinges on precise observational maxima amid inherent forecast uncertainty in convective regimes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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