Traders have converged on a 34°C high for Chengdu on June 5 with near-certainty because official observations from the China Meteorological Administration confirm the daily maximum reached precisely that threshold under stable atmospheric conditions. Early June climatology for the Sichuan basin typically features highs of 28–30°C amid increasing humidity and monsoon influences, making this value consistent with model consensus and recent surface measurements. Minor probabilities on adjacent outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in final station reporting or micro-scale variations, but current data show no realistic path to deviation. Upcoming verification from the national weather service will finalize resolution without further model updates expected.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 5?
34°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$67,530 交易量
$67,530 交易量
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$67,530 交易量
$67,530 交易量
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Traders have converged on a 34°C high for Chengdu on June 5 with near-certainty because official observations from the China Meteorological Administration confirm the daily maximum reached precisely that threshold under stable atmospheric conditions. Early June climatology for the Sichuan basin typically features highs of 28–30°C amid increasing humidity and monsoon influences, making this value consistent with model consensus and recent surface measurements. Minor probabilities on adjacent outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in final station reporting or micro-scale variations, but current data show no realistic path to deviation. Upcoming verification from the national weather service will finalize resolution without further model updates expected.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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