**National Weather Service forecasts project a daytime high near 68°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on April 28, 2026, under breezy southwesterly winds and partly cloudy skies, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 56°F or higher as the dominant outcome.** This positioning aligns with the latest model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, showing above-normal temperatures continuing a recent warm spell with prior days reaching the low 80s, well exceeding the April 28 climatological normal of 64°F. Trader sentiment reflects strong confidence in persistent high-pressure ridging over the Midwest. Realistic challenges include an unexpected shift in the upper-level pattern introducing cooler air from the north, increased low-level clouds from Lake Michigan, or a stalled frontal boundary causing prolonged overcast conditions, though current ensemble guidance shows low likelihood before evening observations finalize the official high, typically reported from Chicago Midway Airport.**
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chicago on April 28?
56°F or higher 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$34,060 交易量
$34,060 交易量
37°F or below
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56°F or higher
Yes
56°F or higher 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$34,060 交易量
$34,060 交易量
37°F or below
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 26, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
**National Weather Service forecasts project a daytime high near 68°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on April 28, 2026, under breezy southwesterly winds and partly cloudy skies, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 56°F or higher as the dominant outcome.** This positioning aligns with the latest model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, showing above-normal temperatures continuing a recent warm spell with prior days reaching the low 80s, well exceeding the April 28 climatological normal of 64°F. Trader sentiment reflects strong confidence in persistent high-pressure ridging over the Midwest. Realistic challenges include an unexpected shift in the upper-level pattern introducing cooler air from the north, increased low-level clouds from Lake Michigan, or a stalled frontal boundary causing prolonged overcast conditions, though current ensemble guidance shows low likelihood before evening observations finalize the official high, typically reported from Chicago Midway Airport.**
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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