Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Chicago's highest temperature at O'Hare International Airport reaching 56°F or higher on May 9, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecasts projecting daytime highs of 65-70°F under mostly sunny skies with light southwest winds. Current morning observations already exceed 50°F, aligning with model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European models showing no cooling trends, amid climatological May 9 normals of 68°F. Recent days featured cooler starts to May but a warming ridge building over the Midwest. Realistic challenges—such as an unforeseen cold front or marine layer intrusion—are absent from guidance, with final observations expected by evening from official NWS records.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chicago on May 9?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 9?
56°F or higher 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$176,568 交易量
$176,568 交易量
2026-05-09
37°F or below
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56°F or higher
Yes
56°F or higher 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$176,568 交易量
$176,568 交易量
2026-05-09
37°F or below
$18,610 交易量
No
38-39°F
$8,930 交易量
No
40-41°F
$12,823 交易量
No
42-43°F
$8,854 交易量
No
44-45°F
$12,221 交易量
No
46-47°F
$13,563 交易量
No
48-49°F
$11,048 交易量
No
50-51°F
$19,949 交易量
No
52-53°F
$15,154 交易量
No
54-55°F
$20,628 交易量
No
56°F or higher
$34,788 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Chicago's highest temperature at O'Hare International Airport reaching 56°F or higher on May 9, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecasts projecting daytime highs of 65-70°F under mostly sunny skies with light southwest winds. Current morning observations already exceed 50°F, aligning with model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European models showing no cooling trends, amid climatological May 9 normals of 68°F. Recent days featured cooler starts to May but a warming ridge building over the Midwest. Realistic challenges—such as an unforeseen cold front or marine layer intrusion—are absent from guidance, with final observations expected by evening from official NWS records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 7, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$176,568结束日期
2026-05-09市场开放时间
May 7, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Chicago's highest temperature at O'Hare International Airport reaching 56°F or higher on May 9, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecasts projecting daytime highs of 65-70°F under mostly sunny skies with light southwest winds. Current morning observations already exceed 50°F, aligning with model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European models showing no cooling trends, amid climatological May 9 normals of 68°F. Recent days featured cooler starts to May but a warming ridge building over the Midwest. Realistic challenges—such as an unforeseen cold front or marine layer intrusion—are absent from guidance, with final observations expected by evening from official NWS records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$176,568结束日期
2026-05-09市场开放时间
May 7, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Chicago's highest temperature at O'Hare International Airport reaching 56°F or higher on May 9, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecasts projecting daytime highs of 65-70°F under mostly sunny skies with light southwest winds. Current morning observations already exceed 50°F, aligning with model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European models showing no cooling trends, amid climatological May 9 normals of 68°F. Recent days featured cooler starts to May but a warming ridge building over the Midwest. Realistic challenges—such as an unforeseen cold front or marine layer intrusion—are absent from guidance, with final observations expected by evening from official NWS records.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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