Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a 27°C high temperature in Chongqing on April 30, 2026, reflecting official observational data from the China Meteorological Administration's monitoring stations at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport, where midday peaks stalled around 24°C under persistent overcast skies before reaching exactly 27°C amid limited solar insolation and high humidity suppressing further diurnal heating. This aligns with numerical weather prediction model consensus from CMA, GFS, and ECMWF, which projected daytime maxima of 26-28°C given multi-layered cloud cover and weak southerly flow, matching the climatological average of 26.8°C for this date. With sunset past and no significant clearing observed, probabilities exceed 99% for 27°C; a realistic challenge would require a late data revision uncovering a higher station reading, though such discrepancies are rare in official records. Final resolution awaits end-of-day verification from authoritative sources.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 30?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 30?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$133,464 交易量
$133,464 交易量
2026-04-30
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$133,464 交易量
$133,464 交易量
2026-04-30
21°C or below
$3,728 交易量
No
22°C
$4,916 交易量
No
23°C
$3,431 交易量
No
24°C
$4,827 交易量
No
25°C
$22,548 交易量
No
26°C
$19,091 交易量
No
27°C
$27,527 交易量
Yes
28°C
$14,732 交易量
No
29°C
$12,002 交易量
No
30°C
$7,064 交易量
No
31°C or higher
$13,598 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a 27°C high temperature in Chongqing on April 30, 2026, reflecting official observational data from the China Meteorological Administration's monitoring stations at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport, where midday peaks stalled around 24°C under persistent overcast skies before reaching exactly 27°C amid limited solar insolation and high humidity suppressing further diurnal heating. This aligns with numerical weather prediction model consensus from CMA, GFS, and ECMWF, which projected daytime maxima of 26-28°C given multi-layered cloud cover and weak southerly flow, matching the climatological average of 26.8°C for this date. With sunset past and no significant clearing observed, probabilities exceed 99% for 27°C; a realistic challenge would require a late data revision uncovering a higher station reading, though such discrepancies are rare in official records. Final resolution awaits end-of-day verification from authoritative sources.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 28, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
交易量
$133,464结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 2:38 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a 27°C high temperature in Chongqing on April 30, 2026, reflecting official observational data from the China Meteorological Administration's monitoring stations at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport, where midday peaks stalled around 24°C under persistent overcast skies before reaching exactly 27°C amid limited solar insolation and high humidity suppressing further diurnal heating. This aligns with numerical weather prediction model consensus from CMA, GFS, and ECMWF, which projected daytime maxima of 26-28°C given multi-layered cloud cover and weak southerly flow, matching the climatological average of 26.8°C for this date. With sunset past and no significant clearing observed, probabilities exceed 99% for 27°C; a realistic challenge would require a late data revision uncovering a higher station reading, though such discrepancies are rare in official records. Final resolution awaits end-of-day verification from authoritative sources.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$133,464结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 2:38 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a 27°C high temperature in Chongqing on April 30, 2026, reflecting official observational data from the China Meteorological Administration's monitoring stations at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport, where midday peaks stalled around 24°C under persistent overcast skies before reaching exactly 27°C amid limited solar insolation and high humidity suppressing further diurnal heating. This aligns with numerical weather prediction model consensus from CMA, GFS, and ECMWF, which projected daytime maxima of 26-28°C given multi-layered cloud cover and weak southerly flow, matching the climatological average of 26.8°C for this date. With sunset past and no significant clearing observed, probabilities exceed 99% for 27°C; a realistic challenge would require a late data revision uncovering a higher station reading, though such discrepancies are rare in official records. Final resolution awaits end-of-day verification from authoritative sources.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题