Trader consensus centers on 36–38°C for Chongqing’s July 9 maximum, reflecting ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS that place the region under a strong subtropical high with limited cloud cover and light winds. High humidity (often >70 %) and the urban heat-island effect amplify daytime heating, while scattered monsoon thunderstorms could cap peaks or enhance them depending on timing and coverage. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and 850 hPa temperatures, keeping the 36–38°C outcomes tightly bunched; clearer skies or delayed rain would favor the upper end, whereas increased convective activity would favor 36°C or below. Historical July climatology supports this range, with daily maxima averaging near 33°C but frequently exceeding 36°C during high-pressure episodes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月9日重庆气温最高?
38°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$62,223 交易量
$62,223 交易量
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
Yes
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
38°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$62,223 交易量
$62,223 交易量
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
Yes
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus centers on 36–38°C for Chongqing’s July 9 maximum, reflecting ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS that place the region under a strong subtropical high with limited cloud cover and light winds. High humidity (often >70 %) and the urban heat-island effect amplify daytime heating, while scattered monsoon thunderstorms could cap peaks or enhance them depending on timing and coverage. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and 850 hPa temperatures, keeping the 36–38°C outcomes tightly bunched; clearer skies or delayed rain would favor the upper end, whereas increased convective activity would favor 36°C or below. Historical July climatology supports this range, with daily maxima averaging near 33°C but frequently exceeding 36°C during high-pressure episodes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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