Persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and a cool northerly airflow have kept maximum temperatures in Chongqing well below seasonal norms on June 17, with official observations confirming readings at or under 25 °C through midday. These conditions suppress surface heating and limit diurnal temperature rise, consistent with current model consensus from regional meteorological agencies. The market’s 100 % implied probability for 25 °C or below reflects this strong, observation-backed consensus. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected shift in steering flow could allow greater insolation and push afternoon highs above the threshold, though such developments appear unlikely given the entrenched synoptic pattern.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chongqing on June 17?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on June 17?
25°C or below 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$86,052 交易量
$86,052 交易量
2026-06-17
25°C or below
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
25°C or below 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$86,052 交易量
$86,052 交易量
2026-06-17
25°C or below
$29,723 交易量
Yes
26°C
$8,802 交易量
No
27°C
$6,243 交易量
No
28°C
$7,702 交易量
No
29°C
$5,915 交易量
No
30°C
$10,023 交易量
No
31°C
$5,392 交易量
No
32°C
$7,133 交易量
No
33°C
$3,354 交易量
No
34°C
$991 交易量
No
35°C or higher
$774 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and a cool northerly airflow have kept maximum temperatures in Chongqing well below seasonal norms on June 17, with official observations confirming readings at or under 25 °C through midday. These conditions suppress surface heating and limit diurnal temperature rise, consistent with current model consensus from regional meteorological agencies. The market’s 100 % implied probability for 25 °C or below reflects this strong, observation-backed consensus. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected shift in steering flow could allow greater insolation and push afternoon highs above the threshold, though such developments appear unlikely given the entrenched synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 15, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
交易量
$86,052结束日期
2026-06-17市场开放时间
Jun 15, 2026, 12:13 AM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and a cool northerly airflow have kept maximum temperatures in Chongqing well below seasonal norms on June 17, with official observations confirming readings at or under 25 °C through midday. These conditions suppress surface heating and limit diurnal temperature rise, consistent with current model consensus from regional meteorological agencies. The market’s 100 % implied probability for 25 °C or below reflects this strong, observation-backed consensus. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected shift in steering flow could allow greater insolation and push afternoon highs above the threshold, though such developments appear unlikely given the entrenched synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$86,052结束日期
2026-06-17市场开放时间
Jun 15, 2026, 12:13 AM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and a cool northerly airflow have kept maximum temperatures in Chongqing well below seasonal norms on June 17, with official observations confirming readings at or under 25 °C through midday. These conditions suppress surface heating and limit diurnal temperature rise, consistent with current model consensus from regional meteorological agencies. The market’s 100 % implied probability for 25 °C or below reflects this strong, observation-backed consensus. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected shift in steering flow could allow greater insolation and push afternoon highs above the threshold, though such developments appear unlikely given the entrenched synoptic pattern.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题