Uncertainty in 48-hour forecasts for Chongqing, driven by variable monsoon moisture and cloud cover, underpins the closely matched market odds around 26–28°C. Regional models show a subtropical high maintaining warm advection, yet scattered showers and higher humidity could cap daytime maxima below typical June averages of 30–31°C. Urban heat island effects and terrain in the Sichuan Basin amplify sensitivity to precipitation timing, with any earlier or heavier rain suppressing peaks toward 25°C or below while clearer intervals support 29°C-plus. Traders weigh evolving CMA and ECMWF runs against historical analogs of mid-June instability, where small shifts in steering patterns or convective initiation often decide the daily high within a narrow range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chongqing on June 23?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on June 23?
25°C or below 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$70,384 交易量
$70,384 交易量
2026-06-23
25°C or below
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
25°C or below 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$70,384 交易量
$70,384 交易量
2026-06-23
25°C or below
$23,248 交易量
Yes
26°C
$7,063 交易量
No
27°C
$6,356 交易量
No
28°C
$16,460 交易量
No
29°C
$7,860 交易量
No
30°C
$7,123 交易量
No
31°C
$698 交易量
No
32°C
$389 交易量
No
33°C
$480 交易量
No
34°C
$371 交易量
No
35°C or higher
$336 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Uncertainty in 48-hour forecasts for Chongqing, driven by variable monsoon moisture and cloud cover, underpins the closely matched market odds around 26–28°C. Regional models show a subtropical high maintaining warm advection, yet scattered showers and higher humidity could cap daytime maxima below typical June averages of 30–31°C. Urban heat island effects and terrain in the Sichuan Basin amplify sensitivity to precipitation timing, with any earlier or heavier rain suppressing peaks toward 25°C or below while clearer intervals support 29°C-plus. Traders weigh evolving CMA and ECMWF runs against historical analogs of mid-June instability, where small shifts in steering patterns or convective initiation often decide the daily high within a narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 21, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
交易量
$70,384结束日期
2026-06-23市场开放时间
Jun 21, 2026, 12:13 AM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Uncertainty in 48-hour forecasts for Chongqing, driven by variable monsoon moisture and cloud cover, underpins the closely matched market odds around 26–28°C. Regional models show a subtropical high maintaining warm advection, yet scattered showers and higher humidity could cap daytime maxima below typical June averages of 30–31°C. Urban heat island effects and terrain in the Sichuan Basin amplify sensitivity to precipitation timing, with any earlier or heavier rain suppressing peaks toward 25°C or below while clearer intervals support 29°C-plus. Traders weigh evolving CMA and ECMWF runs against historical analogs of mid-June instability, where small shifts in steering patterns or convective initiation often decide the daily high within a narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$70,384结束日期
2026-06-23市场开放时间
Jun 21, 2026, 12:13 AM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Uncertainty in 48-hour forecasts for Chongqing, driven by variable monsoon moisture and cloud cover, underpins the closely matched market odds around 26–28°C. Regional models show a subtropical high maintaining warm advection, yet scattered showers and higher humidity could cap daytime maxima below typical June averages of 30–31°C. Urban heat island effects and terrain in the Sichuan Basin amplify sensitivity to precipitation timing, with any earlier or heavier rain suppressing peaks toward 25°C or below while clearer intervals support 29°C-plus. Traders weigh evolving CMA and ECMWF runs against historical analogs of mid-June instability, where small shifts in steering patterns or convective initiation often decide the daily high within a narrow range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题