National Weather Service observations at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport (KDFW) show temperatures already climbing to 80°F mid-afternoon on May 3 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, locking in a daily high well above 74°F and fueling 100% market-implied odds for that outcome. NOAA forecast models, including the latest GFS and ECMWF runs, project a peak near 82°F with continued sunshine through sunset, consistent with above-normal spring warmth following record-hot March 2026 averages exceeding 67°F. Trader consensus reflects this observational certainty from official stations, where daily maxima are typically finalized late afternoon. Scenarios challenging this are virtually nonexistent barring rare data revisions, as the threshold is already surpassed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Dallas on May 3?
74°F or higher 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$43,873 交易量
$43,873 交易量
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
Yes
74°F or higher 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$43,873 交易量
$43,873 交易量
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 1, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
National Weather Service observations at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport (KDFW) show temperatures already climbing to 80°F mid-afternoon on May 3 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, locking in a daily high well above 74°F and fueling 100% market-implied odds for that outcome. NOAA forecast models, including the latest GFS and ECMWF runs, project a peak near 82°F with continued sunshine through sunset, consistent with above-normal spring warmth following record-hot March 2026 averages exceeding 67°F. Trader consensus reflects this observational certainty from official stations, where daily maxima are typically finalized late afternoon. Scenarios challenging this are virtually nonexistent barring rare data revisions, as the threshold is already surpassed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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