Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate Denver will experience moderating temperatures on June 25 under a post-frontal airmass with northeast flow and possible afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers, keeping the daily maximum well below seasonal normals near 85–90 °F. This pattern explains the tightly clustered market probabilities around 72–79 °F, where small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, or downslope warming from the Front Range can shift the peak by several degrees. Historical climatology shows June highs typically rise with strong solar insolation and westerly flow, but current steering patterns favor cooler northeast advection and reduced surface heating. Traders appear focused on the next NWS forecast updates and high-resolution model trends through tonight, as those will refine whether the high settles in the mid-70s or edges toward the upper 70s.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Denver on June 25?
76-77°F 100.0%
65°F或以下 <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$55,587 交易量
$55,587 交易量
65°F或以下
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
Yes
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
76-77°F 100.0%
65°F或以下 <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$55,587 交易量
$55,587 交易量
65°F或以下
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
Yes
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 23, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate Denver will experience moderating temperatures on June 25 under a post-frontal airmass with northeast flow and possible afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers, keeping the daily maximum well below seasonal normals near 85–90 °F. This pattern explains the tightly clustered market probabilities around 72–79 °F, where small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, or downslope warming from the Front Range can shift the peak by several degrees. Historical climatology shows June highs typically rise with strong solar insolation and westerly flow, but current steering patterns favor cooler northeast advection and reduced surface heating. Traders appear focused on the next NWS forecast updates and high-resolution model trends through tonight, as those will refine whether the high settles in the mid-70s or edges toward the upper 70s.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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