Official observations from the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport meteorological station—the market's resolution source—have confirmed a peak temperature of 23°C on May 5, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the local day concludes. Persistent cloud cover and light rain, as reported by China Meteorological Administration monitoring, suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating, resulting in highs well below the early May climatological average of 29°C amid post-holiday frontal influences over Guangdong. Model consensus from CMA and local forecasts aligned with this subdued pattern throughout the day. While final data validation is pending, a realistic challenge would require an upward revision of preliminary readings from late-afternoon sensors, though evening stability makes this improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 5?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 5?
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$37,138 交易量
$37,138 交易量
2026-05-05
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$37,138 交易量
$37,138 交易量
2026-05-05
16°C or below
$1,379 交易量
No
17°C
$720 交易量
No
18°C
$631 交易量
No
19°C
$570 交易量
No
20°C
$1,655 交易量
No
21°C
$3,559 交易量
No
22°C
$7,195 交易量
No
23°C
$9,437 交易量
Yes
24°C
$3,843 交易量
No
25°C
$3,387 交易量
No
26°C or higher
$4,762 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport meteorological station—the market's resolution source—have confirmed a peak temperature of 23°C on May 5, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the local day concludes. Persistent cloud cover and light rain, as reported by China Meteorological Administration monitoring, suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating, resulting in highs well below the early May climatological average of 29°C amid post-holiday frontal influences over Guangdong. Model consensus from CMA and local forecasts aligned with this subdued pattern throughout the day. While final data validation is pending, a realistic challenge would require an upward revision of preliminary readings from late-afternoon sensors, though evening stability makes this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 3, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
交易量
$37,138结束日期
2026-05-05市场开放时间
May 3, 2026, 12:34 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport meteorological station—the market's resolution source—have confirmed a peak temperature of 23°C on May 5, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the local day concludes. Persistent cloud cover and light rain, as reported by China Meteorological Administration monitoring, suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating, resulting in highs well below the early May climatological average of 29°C amid post-holiday frontal influences over Guangdong. Model consensus from CMA and local forecasts aligned with this subdued pattern throughout the day. While final data validation is pending, a realistic challenge would require an upward revision of preliminary readings from late-afternoon sensors, though evening stability makes this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$37,138结束日期
2026-05-05市场开放时间
May 3, 2026, 12:34 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport meteorological station—the market's resolution source—have confirmed a peak temperature of 23°C on May 5, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the local day concludes. Persistent cloud cover and light rain, as reported by China Meteorological Administration monitoring, suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating, resulting in highs well below the early May climatological average of 29°C amid post-holiday frontal influences over Guangdong. Model consensus from CMA and local forecasts aligned with this subdued pattern throughout the day. While final data validation is pending, a realistic challenge would require an upward revision of preliminary readings from late-afternoon sensors, though evening stability makes this improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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