Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature reaching exactly 7°C on April 26, driven by Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) observational data and hourly forecasts showing a midday peak of 7°C at stations like Viikki, followed by a steady drop to 4°C amid persistent northwest winds of 5-9 m/s and partly cloudy conditions. Current late-evening readings align with this, as solar heating diminishes post-15:00 with sunset approaching around 20:30. April climatology supports such cool snaps, with historical late-month highs averaging 7-8°C under northerly flow. Realistic challenges include an improbable sudden wind lull and clearing skies enabling a brief 1°C spike before resolution based on FMI's Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station data, but model consensus indicates negligible risk.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 26?
7°C 100.0%
1°C or below <1%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
$57,593 交易量
$57,593 交易量
1°C or below
No
2°C
No
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
Yes
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C or higher
No
7°C 100.0%
1°C or below <1%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
$57,593 交易量
$57,593 交易量
1°C or below
No
2°C
No
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
Yes
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 24, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature reaching exactly 7°C on April 26, driven by Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) observational data and hourly forecasts showing a midday peak of 7°C at stations like Viikki, followed by a steady drop to 4°C amid persistent northwest winds of 5-9 m/s and partly cloudy conditions. Current late-evening readings align with this, as solar heating diminishes post-15:00 with sunset approaching around 20:30. April climatology supports such cool snaps, with historical late-month highs averaging 7-8°C under northerly flow. Realistic challenges include an improbable sudden wind lull and clearing skies enabling a brief 1°C spike before resolution based on FMI's Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station data, but model consensus indicates negligible risk.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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