The Finnish Meteorological Institute's official observations from Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station—the market's designated resolution source—confirm a maximum temperature of 21.3°C on May 1, 2026, under a stable high-pressure ridge delivering mild spring warmth with light winds and partial sunshine. This aligns precisely with the 21°C outcome bin, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability as real-time data solidified post-event. Preceding ECMWF and GFS model runs had converged on 20–21°C peaks, matching climatological norms for early May in Helsinki, where daily highs average 13–15°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare data revisions from quality checks, with final FMI validation expected imminently.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 1?
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$86,534 交易量
$86,534 交易量
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$86,534 交易量
$86,534 交易量
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The Finnish Meteorological Institute's official observations from Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station—the market's designated resolution source—confirm a maximum temperature of 21.3°C on May 1, 2026, under a stable high-pressure ridge delivering mild spring warmth with light winds and partial sunshine. This aligns precisely with the 21°C outcome bin, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability as real-time data solidified post-event. Preceding ECMWF and GFS model runs had converged on 20–21°C peaks, matching climatological norms for early May in Helsinki, where daily highs average 13–15°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare data revisions from quality checks, with final FMI validation expected imminently.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题