Finnish Meteorological Institute observations at Helsinki's central Kaisaniemi station confirm the highest temperature reached 12°C earlier today, May 5, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome as the market nears resolution. Cool westerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and low-level moisture in the Baltic atmospheric flow have capped daytime heating well below the early May climatological average of 14–15°C, aligning with recent forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs. While inherent weather uncertainty persists, a late-afternoon clearing and intense solar insolation could theoretically challenge this by nudging temps to 13°C, though declining sun angle and evening cooling make it improbable; final FMI data release expected post-midnight UTC.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 5?
12°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$65,581 交易量
$65,581 交易量
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$65,581 交易量
$65,581 交易量
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Finnish Meteorological Institute observations at Helsinki's central Kaisaniemi station confirm the highest temperature reached 12°C earlier today, May 5, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome as the market nears resolution. Cool westerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and low-level moisture in the Baltic atmospheric flow have capped daytime heating well below the early May climatological average of 14–15°C, aligning with recent forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs. While inherent weather uncertainty persists, a late-afternoon clearing and intense solar insolation could theoretically challenge this by nudging temps to 13°C, though declining sun angle and evening cooling make it improbable; final FMI data release expected post-midnight UTC.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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