Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 8 reaching exactly 15°C at the official Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, as reported by the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI). Real-time hourly observations confirm a midday peak of around 14.6–15°C under clear skies, light northwesterly winds (3–5 m/s), and low humidity (23%), followed by rapid cooling to 7–9°C by evening—aligning with early-May climatological norms where daily highs average 13–15°C amid transitional spring patterns. Model consensus from FMI forecasts accurately anticipated this without intensification potential. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions by FMI if sensor anomalies emerge; final daily summary expected within 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 8?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 8?
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$56,748 交易量
$56,748 交易量
2026-05-08
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$56,748 交易量
$56,748 交易量
2026-05-08
9°C or below
$3,393 交易量
No
10°C
$1,387 交易量
No
11°C
$3,386 交易量
No
12°C
$2,667 交易量
No
13°C
$6,298 交易量
No
14°C
$11,197 交易量
No
15°C
$7,735 交易量
Yes
16°C
$7,240 交易量
No
17°C
$3,796 交易量
No
18°C
$5,373 交易量
No
19°C or higher
$4,279 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 8 reaching exactly 15°C at the official Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, as reported by the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI). Real-time hourly observations confirm a midday peak of around 14.6–15°C under clear skies, light northwesterly winds (3–5 m/s), and low humidity (23%), followed by rapid cooling to 7–9°C by evening—aligning with early-May climatological norms where daily highs average 13–15°C amid transitional spring patterns. Model consensus from FMI forecasts accurately anticipated this without intensification potential. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions by FMI if sensor anomalies emerge; final daily summary expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 6, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
交易量
$56,748结束日期
2026-05-08市场开放时间
May 6, 2026, 12:11 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 8 reaching exactly 15°C at the official Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, as reported by the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI). Real-time hourly observations confirm a midday peak of around 14.6–15°C under clear skies, light northwesterly winds (3–5 m/s), and low humidity (23%), followed by rapid cooling to 7–9°C by evening—aligning with early-May climatological norms where daily highs average 13–15°C amid transitional spring patterns. Model consensus from FMI forecasts accurately anticipated this without intensification potential. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions by FMI if sensor anomalies emerge; final daily summary expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$56,748结束日期
2026-05-08市场开放时间
May 6, 2026, 12:11 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 8 reaching exactly 15°C at the official Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, as reported by the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI). Real-time hourly observations confirm a midday peak of around 14.6–15°C under clear skies, light northwesterly winds (3–5 m/s), and low humidity (23%), followed by rapid cooling to 7–9°C by evening—aligning with early-May climatological norms where daily highs average 13–15°C amid transitional spring patterns. Model consensus from FMI forecasts accurately anticipated this without intensification potential. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions by FMI if sensor anomalies emerge; final daily summary expected within 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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