National Weather Service observations confirm Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) recorded a maximum temperature of 79°F on May 3, 2026, at around 3:54 PM, driving the 100% market-implied probability for the 78-79°F outcome and resolving the market accordingly. This aligns with NOAA forecast model consensus anticipating highs near 79°F under post-frontal high-pressure ridging, light north winds around 5 mph, and mostly clear skies that limited solar heating after morning lows in the mid-50s°F. Similar readings at Bush Intercontinental (IAH) further solidify trader consensus. Realistic challenges, such as late-afternoon data revisions or disputes over station selection, are improbable given standardized NWS daily climate summaries and historical measurement protocols.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Houston on May 3?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 3?
78-79°F 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$56,723 交易量
$56,723 交易量
2026-05-03
63°F or below
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82°F or higher
No
78-79°F 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$56,723 交易量
$56,723 交易量
2026-05-03
63°F or below
$1,137 交易量
No
64-65°F
$5,502 交易量
No
66-67°F
$3,981 交易量
No
68-69°F
$3,402 交易量
No
70-71°F
$1,854 交易量
No
72-73°F
$1,912 交易量
No
74-75°F
$5,667 交易量
No
76-77°F
$7,808 交易量
No
78-79°F
$6,156 交易量
Yes
80-81°F
$11,888 交易量
No
82°F or higher
$7,416 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations confirm Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) recorded a maximum temperature of 79°F on May 3, 2026, at around 3:54 PM, driving the 100% market-implied probability for the 78-79°F outcome and resolving the market accordingly. This aligns with NOAA forecast model consensus anticipating highs near 79°F under post-frontal high-pressure ridging, light north winds around 5 mph, and mostly clear skies that limited solar heating after morning lows in the mid-50s°F. Similar readings at Bush Intercontinental (IAH) further solidify trader consensus. Realistic challenges, such as late-afternoon data revisions or disputes over station selection, are improbable given standardized NWS daily climate summaries and historical measurement protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 1, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
交易量
$56,723结束日期
2026-05-03市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 12:25 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations confirm Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) recorded a maximum temperature of 79°F on May 3, 2026, at around 3:54 PM, driving the 100% market-implied probability for the 78-79°F outcome and resolving the market accordingly. This aligns with NOAA forecast model consensus anticipating highs near 79°F under post-frontal high-pressure ridging, light north winds around 5 mph, and mostly clear skies that limited solar heating after morning lows in the mid-50s°F. Similar readings at Bush Intercontinental (IAH) further solidify trader consensus. Realistic challenges, such as late-afternoon data revisions or disputes over station selection, are improbable given standardized NWS daily climate summaries and historical measurement protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$56,723结束日期
2026-05-03市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 12:25 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
National Weather Service observations confirm Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) recorded a maximum temperature of 79°F on May 3, 2026, at around 3:54 PM, driving the 100% market-implied probability for the 78-79°F outcome and resolving the market accordingly. This aligns with NOAA forecast model consensus anticipating highs near 79°F under post-frontal high-pressure ridging, light north winds around 5 mph, and mostly clear skies that limited solar heating after morning lows in the mid-50s°F. Similar readings at Bush Intercontinental (IAH) further solidify trader consensus. Realistic challenges, such as late-afternoon data revisions or disputes over station selection, are improbable given standardized NWS daily climate summaries and historical measurement protocols.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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