Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 78-79°F on May 7, driven by official observations from the William P. Hobby Airport station (KHOU), which recorded the peak within this range per Weather Underground data used for resolution. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service measurements at nearby Intercontinental Airport (KIAH), reflecting mostly cloudy skies, scattered light showers from a passing upper-level trough, reduced insolation, and cooler mid-level air advection that capped warming below May climatological normals around 86°F. NOAA forecast models accurately anticipated these dynamics amid light precipitation. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions for sensor errors or disputes over exact measurement protocols, though such shifts are improbable given verified observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Houston on May 7?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 7?
78-79°F 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$62,169 交易量
$62,169 交易量
2026-05-07
63°F or below
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82°F or higher
No
78-79°F 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$62,169 交易量
$62,169 交易量
2026-05-07
63°F or below
$6,056 交易量
No
64-65°F
$5,521 交易量
No
66-67°F
$2,050 交易量
No
68-69°F
$2,024 交易量
No
70-71°F
$5,752 交易量
No
72-73°F
$6,042 交易量
No
74-75°F
$3,774 交易量
No
76-77°F
$6,180 交易量
No
78-79°F
$9,162 交易量
Yes
80-81°F
$6,367 交易量
No
82°F or higher
$9,243 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 78-79°F on May 7, driven by official observations from the William P. Hobby Airport station (KHOU), which recorded the peak within this range per Weather Underground data used for resolution. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service measurements at nearby Intercontinental Airport (KIAH), reflecting mostly cloudy skies, scattered light showers from a passing upper-level trough, reduced insolation, and cooler mid-level air advection that capped warming below May climatological normals around 86°F. NOAA forecast models accurately anticipated these dynamics amid light precipitation. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions for sensor errors or disputes over exact measurement protocols, though such shifts are improbable given verified observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
交易量
$62,169结束日期
2026-05-07市场开放时间
May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 78-79°F on May 7, driven by official observations from the William P. Hobby Airport station (KHOU), which recorded the peak within this range per Weather Underground data used for resolution. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service measurements at nearby Intercontinental Airport (KIAH), reflecting mostly cloudy skies, scattered light showers from a passing upper-level trough, reduced insolation, and cooler mid-level air advection that capped warming below May climatological normals around 86°F. NOAA forecast models accurately anticipated these dynamics amid light precipitation. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions for sensor errors or disputes over exact measurement protocols, though such shifts are improbable given verified observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$62,169结束日期
2026-05-07市场开放时间
May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 78-79°F on May 7, driven by official observations from the William P. Hobby Airport station (KHOU), which recorded the peak within this range per Weather Underground data used for resolution. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service measurements at nearby Intercontinental Airport (KIAH), reflecting mostly cloudy skies, scattered light showers from a passing upper-level trough, reduced insolation, and cooler mid-level air advection that capped warming below May climatological normals around 86°F. NOAA forecast models accurately anticipated these dynamics amid light precipitation. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions for sensor errors or disputes over exact measurement protocols, though such shifts are improbable given verified observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题