Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 10°C at Istanbul Airport (per NOAA observations), driven by an anomalous cold northerly airflow and persistent cloud cover suppressing daytime heating on April 22, 2026. Current readings hover around 9–10°C (48–50°F) amid light rain and overcast skies, aligning with Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and global model forecasts (ECMWF, GFS) capping highs at 11°C amid post-frontal conditions—far below April climatological averages of 15–17°C. This positioning reflects real-time airport data confirming minimal warming potential as the day progresses. Realistic challenges include brief clearing allowing solar insolation to push peaks to 11°C, though low sun angle and moisture limit upside; final NOAA tallies expected by midnight UTC.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 22?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 22?
10°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$68,461 交易量
$68,461 交易量
2026-04-22
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$68,461 交易量
$68,461 交易量
2026-04-22
6°C or below
$630 交易量
No
7°C
$985 交易量
No
8°C
$3,424 交易量
No
9°C
$6,861 交易量
No
10°C
$14,140 交易量
Yes
11°C
$7,925 交易量
No
12°C
$15,681 交易量
No
13°C
$7,280 交易量
No
14°C
$5,493 交易量
No
15°C
$3,562 交易量
No
16°C or higher
$2,480 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 10°C at Istanbul Airport (per NOAA observations), driven by an anomalous cold northerly airflow and persistent cloud cover suppressing daytime heating on April 22, 2026. Current readings hover around 9–10°C (48–50°F) amid light rain and overcast skies, aligning with Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and global model forecasts (ECMWF, GFS) capping highs at 11°C amid post-frontal conditions—far below April climatological averages of 15–17°C. This positioning reflects real-time airport data confirming minimal warming potential as the day progresses. Realistic challenges include brief clearing allowing solar insolation to push peaks to 11°C, though low sun angle and moisture limit upside; final NOAA tallies expected by midnight UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 20, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
交易量
$68,461结束日期
2026-04-22市场开放时间
Apr 20, 2026, 12:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 10°C at Istanbul Airport (per NOAA observations), driven by an anomalous cold northerly airflow and persistent cloud cover suppressing daytime heating on April 22, 2026. Current readings hover around 9–10°C (48–50°F) amid light rain and overcast skies, aligning with Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and global model forecasts (ECMWF, GFS) capping highs at 11°C amid post-frontal conditions—far below April climatological averages of 15–17°C. This positioning reflects real-time airport data confirming minimal warming potential as the day progresses. Realistic challenges include brief clearing allowing solar insolation to push peaks to 11°C, though low sun angle and moisture limit upside; final NOAA tallies expected by midnight UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$68,461结束日期
2026-04-22市场开放时间
Apr 20, 2026, 12:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 10°C at Istanbul Airport (per NOAA observations), driven by an anomalous cold northerly airflow and persistent cloud cover suppressing daytime heating on April 22, 2026. Current readings hover around 9–10°C (48–50°F) amid light rain and overcast skies, aligning with Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and global model forecasts (ECMWF, GFS) capping highs at 11°C amid post-frontal conditions—far below April climatological averages of 15–17°C. This positioning reflects real-time airport data confirming minimal warming potential as the day progresses. Realistic challenges include brief clearing allowing solar insolation to push peaks to 11°C, though low sun angle and moisture limit upside; final NOAA tallies expected by midnight UTC.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题