Traders have converged almost entirely on 26°C as the highest temperature in Istanbul on June 14, 2026, reflecting real-time meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international forecasters. Current conditions feature stable high pressure, light to moderate southerly winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that have supported gradual daytime warming to this precise peak, aligning closely with climatological June averages of 25–26°C while avoiding the warmer anomalies seen in some prior years. This market-implied outcome draws strength from verified station data and ensemble forecasts showing minimal deviation risk by late afternoon. A realistic challenge could arise only from an unforeseen late-day surge driven by localized sea-breeze shifts or rapid model error, though such shifts remain improbable given the day's consistent thermal profile.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 14?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 14?
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$58,001 交易量
$58,001 交易量
2026-06-14
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$58,001 交易量
$58,001 交易量
2026-06-14
20°C or below
$6,340 交易量
No
21°C
$1,408 交易量
No
22°C
$1,940 交易量
No
23°C
$5,724 交易量
No
24°C
$5,705 交易量
No
25°C
$12,370 交易量
No
26°C
$10,531 交易量
Yes
27°C
$4,313 交易量
No
28°C
$5,933 交易量
No
29°C
$1,630 交易量
No
30°C or higher
$2,105 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged almost entirely on 26°C as the highest temperature in Istanbul on June 14, 2026, reflecting real-time meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international forecasters. Current conditions feature stable high pressure, light to moderate southerly winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that have supported gradual daytime warming to this precise peak, aligning closely with climatological June averages of 25–26°C while avoiding the warmer anomalies seen in some prior years. This market-implied outcome draws strength from verified station data and ensemble forecasts showing minimal deviation risk by late afternoon. A realistic challenge could arise only from an unforeseen late-day surge driven by localized sea-breeze shifts or rapid model error, though such shifts remain improbable given the day's consistent thermal profile.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$58,001结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged almost entirely on 26°C as the highest temperature in Istanbul on June 14, 2026, reflecting real-time meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international forecasters. Current conditions feature stable high pressure, light to moderate southerly winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that have supported gradual daytime warming to this precise peak, aligning closely with climatological June averages of 25–26°C while avoiding the warmer anomalies seen in some prior years. This market-implied outcome draws strength from verified station data and ensemble forecasts showing minimal deviation risk by late afternoon. A realistic challenge could arise only from an unforeseen late-day surge driven by localized sea-breeze shifts or rapid model error, though such shifts remain improbable given the day's consistent thermal profile.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$58,001结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Traders have converged almost entirely on 26°C as the highest temperature in Istanbul on June 14, 2026, reflecting real-time meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international forecasters. Current conditions feature stable high pressure, light to moderate southerly winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that have supported gradual daytime warming to this precise peak, aligning closely with climatological June averages of 25–26°C while avoiding the warmer anomalies seen in some prior years. This market-implied outcome draws strength from verified station data and ensemble forecasts showing minimal deviation risk by late afternoon. A realistic challenge could arise only from an unforeseen late-day surge driven by localized sea-breeze shifts or rapid model error, though such shifts remain improbable given the day's consistent thermal profile.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题