**Trader consensus on a 24°C high for Istanbul on June 16, 2026, reflects the latest short-range forecast consensus from regional meteorological models and observational data.** Current conditions, including moderate June solar insolation, typical Black Sea-influenced airflow, and absence of strong high-pressure systems or heat advection, align with a daily maximum near this value. Historical climatology for mid-June shows average highs around 24–26°C, providing context for the tight market pricing. Official monitoring stations and ensemble forecasts show minimal spread, supporting near-certainty in the 24°C bucket. Realistic challenges include localized microclimate variations at reporting stations, rapid afternoon convective warming, or model revisions from updated satellite or radiosonde data that could push the verified high one degree higher or lower before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 16?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 16?
24°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$95,231 交易量
$95,231 交易量
2026-06-16
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$95,231 交易量
$95,231 交易量
2026-06-16
21°C or below
$1,633 交易量
No
22°C
$5,957 交易量
No
23°C
$51,839 交易量
No
24°C
$10,976 交易量
Yes
25°C
$4,439 交易量
No
26°C
$4,342 交易量
No
27°C
$4,408 交易量
No
28°C
$2,627 交易量
No
29°C
$3,132 交易量
No
30°C
$1,898 交易量
No
31°C or higher
$3,981 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 24°C high for Istanbul on June 16, 2026, reflects the latest short-range forecast consensus from regional meteorological models and observational data.** Current conditions, including moderate June solar insolation, typical Black Sea-influenced airflow, and absence of strong high-pressure systems or heat advection, align with a daily maximum near this value. Historical climatology for mid-June shows average highs around 24–26°C, providing context for the tight market pricing. Official monitoring stations and ensemble forecasts show minimal spread, supporting near-certainty in the 24°C bucket.
Realistic challenges include localized microclimate variations at reporting stations, rapid afternoon convective warming, or model revisions from updated satellite or radiosonde data that could push the verified high one degree higher or lower before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
交易量
$95,231结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a 24°C high for Istanbul on June 16, 2026, reflects the latest short-range forecast consensus from regional meteorological models and observational data.** Current conditions, including moderate June solar insolation, typical Black Sea-influenced airflow, and absence of strong high-pressure systems or heat advection, align with a daily maximum near this value. Historical climatology for mid-June shows average highs around 24–26°C, providing context for the tight market pricing. Official monitoring stations and ensemble forecasts show minimal spread, supporting near-certainty in the 24°C bucket.
Realistic challenges include localized microclimate variations at reporting stations, rapid afternoon convective warming, or model revisions from updated satellite or radiosonde data that could push the verified high one degree higher or lower before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$95,231结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
**Trader consensus on a 24°C high for Istanbul on June 16, 2026, reflects the latest short-range forecast consensus from regional meteorological models and observational data.** Current conditions, including moderate June solar insolation, typical Black Sea-influenced airflow, and absence of strong high-pressure systems or heat advection, align with a daily maximum near this value. Historical climatology for mid-June shows average highs around 24–26°C, providing context for the tight market pricing. Official monitoring stations and ensemble forecasts show minimal spread, supporting near-certainty in the 24°C bucket. Realistic challenges include localized microclimate variations at reporting stations, rapid afternoon convective warming, or model revisions from updated satellite or radiosonde data that could push the verified high one degree higher or lower before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题