Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and converging runs of the ECMWF and GFS models place Istanbul’s maximum temperature for June 5 at exactly 22°C, driving the near-certain market-implied probability. Stable atmospheric conditions, light winds, and moderate humidity are limiting daytime heating, consistent with recent observations near 20–21°C and climatological norms for early June in the region. The tight ensemble spread leaves little room for significant deviation, though a stronger-than-expected sea breeze or delayed cloud cover could push readings marginally higher; traders are monitoring the final hourly updates and airport station data for confirmation ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 5?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 5?
22°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$94,971 交易量
$94,971 交易量
2026-06-05
21°C or below
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$94,971 交易量
$94,971 交易量
2026-06-05
21°C or below
$17,552 交易量
No
22°C
$26,261 交易量
Yes
23°C
$18,573 交易量
No
24°C
$10,419 交易量
No
25°C
$5,685 交易量
No
26°C
$3,901 交易量
No
27°C
$3,256 交易量
No
28°C
$2,130 交易量
No
29°C
$2,218 交易量
No
30°C
$2,489 交易量
No
31°C or higher
$2,485 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and converging runs of the ECMWF and GFS models place Istanbul’s maximum temperature for June 5 at exactly 22°C, driving the near-certain market-implied probability. Stable atmospheric conditions, light winds, and moderate humidity are limiting daytime heating, consistent with recent observations near 20–21°C and climatological norms for early June in the region. The tight ensemble spread leaves little room for significant deviation, though a stronger-than-expected sea breeze or delayed cloud cover could push readings marginally higher; traders are monitoring the final hourly updates and airport station data for confirmation ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 3, 2026, 12:46 AM ET
交易量
$94,971结束日期
2026-06-05市场开放时间
Jun 3, 2026, 12:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and converging runs of the ECMWF and GFS models place Istanbul’s maximum temperature for June 5 at exactly 22°C, driving the near-certain market-implied probability. Stable atmospheric conditions, light winds, and moderate humidity are limiting daytime heating, consistent with recent observations near 20–21°C and climatological norms for early June in the region. The tight ensemble spread leaves little room for significant deviation, though a stronger-than-expected sea breeze or delayed cloud cover could push readings marginally higher; traders are monitoring the final hourly updates and airport station data for confirmation ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$94,971结束日期
2026-06-05市场开放时间
Jun 3, 2026, 12:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and converging runs of the ECMWF and GFS models place Istanbul’s maximum temperature for June 5 at exactly 22°C, driving the near-certain market-implied probability. Stable atmospheric conditions, light winds, and moderate humidity are limiting daytime heating, consistent with recent observations near 20–21°C and climatological norms for early June in the region. The tight ensemble spread leaves little room for significant deviation, though a stronger-than-expected sea breeze or delayed cloud cover could push readings marginally higher; traders are monitoring the final hourly updates and airport station data for confirmation ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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