Official NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 3 reached 12°C (53°F), with hourly readings peaking there amid persistent low cloud cover and gusty northerly winds (20–30 km/h) that limited solar heating during a regional cold snap. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) reports align, noting morning lows near 9°C and high precipitation probabilities (50–60%), well below the early May climatological average of 20°C driven by typical Black Sea influences. This observational consensus, overriding prior model uncertainties in GFS and ECMWF ensembles, solidifies trader positioning at 100% implied probability. Final data revisions are rare but could theoretically adjust if instrument anomalies emerge; otherwise, resolution is assured.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 3?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 3?
12°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$44,461 交易量
$44,461 交易量
2026-05-03
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$44,461 交易量
$44,461 交易量
2026-05-03
7°C or below
$3,130 交易量
No
8°C
$2,466 交易量
No
9°C
$5,544 交易量
No
10°C
$2,711 交易量
No
11°C
$2,436 交易量
No
12°C
$8,806 交易量
Yes
13°C
$6,099 交易量
No
14°C
$4,722 交易量
No
15°C
$3,297 交易量
No
16°C
$2,070 交易量
No
17°C or higher
$3,182 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 3 reached 12°C (53°F), with hourly readings peaking there amid persistent low cloud cover and gusty northerly winds (20–30 km/h) that limited solar heating during a regional cold snap. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) reports align, noting morning lows near 9°C and high precipitation probabilities (50–60%), well below the early May climatological average of 20°C driven by typical Black Sea influences. This observational consensus, overriding prior model uncertainties in GFS and ECMWF ensembles, solidifies trader positioning at 100% implied probability. Final data revisions are rare but could theoretically adjust if instrument anomalies emerge; otherwise, resolution is assured.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
交易量
$44,461结束日期
2026-05-03市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 3 reached 12°C (53°F), with hourly readings peaking there amid persistent low cloud cover and gusty northerly winds (20–30 km/h) that limited solar heating during a regional cold snap. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) reports align, noting morning lows near 9°C and high precipitation probabilities (50–60%), well below the early May climatological average of 20°C driven by typical Black Sea influences. This observational consensus, overriding prior model uncertainties in GFS and ECMWF ensembles, solidifies trader positioning at 100% implied probability. Final data revisions are rare but could theoretically adjust if instrument anomalies emerge; otherwise, resolution is assured.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$44,461结束日期
2026-05-03市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official NOAA observations at Istanbul Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 3 reached 12°C (53°F), with hourly readings peaking there amid persistent low cloud cover and gusty northerly winds (20–30 km/h) that limited solar heating during a regional cold snap. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) reports align, noting morning lows near 9°C and high precipitation probabilities (50–60%), well below the early May climatological average of 20°C driven by typical Black Sea influences. This observational consensus, overriding prior model uncertainties in GFS and ECMWF ensembles, solidifies trader positioning at 100% implied probability. Final data revisions are rare but could theoretically adjust if instrument anomalies emerge; otherwise, resolution is assured.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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