Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching exactly 33°C on May 7, 2026, at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport station—the market's official resolution source via Wunderground—driven by midday observations confirming this peak amid partly cloudy skies and urban heat island effects amplifying solar heating. BMKG's latest forecasts noted berawan (cloudy) conditions with air temperatures of 26–31°C, high humidity (70–85%), and sea breeze moderation preventing spikes, consistent with May climatological averages of 32°C highs rarely exceeding 34°C. Late-afternoon cloud cover increases further suppress potential rises, though a sudden clearing or station data revision could challenge this positioning before daily records finalize.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 7?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$70,712 交易量
$70,712 交易量
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$70,712 交易量
$70,712 交易量
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 5, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching exactly 33°C on May 7, 2026, at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport station—the market's official resolution source via Wunderground—driven by midday observations confirming this peak amid partly cloudy skies and urban heat island effects amplifying solar heating. BMKG's latest forecasts noted berawan (cloudy) conditions with air temperatures of 26–31°C, high humidity (70–85%), and sea breeze moderation preventing spikes, consistent with May climatological averages of 32°C highs rarely exceeding 34°C. Late-afternoon cloud cover increases further suppress potential rises, though a sudden clearing or station data revision could challenge this positioning before daily records finalize.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


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