Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Jeddah's highest temperature at King Abdulaziz International Airport on April 18, with 38°C leading at 24.5% implied probability amid a persistent high-pressure ridge driving above-average heat following 39°C on April 16 and models favoring 41°C today. Recent National Center for Meteorology (NCM) updates and GFS/ECMWF ensembles project peaks of 37–41°C under clear skies and subsidence, but diverge on sea breeze strength—potentially moderating coastal highs by 1–2°C via increased humidity and onshore flow—differentiating close outcomes. Historical April averages hover near 35°C, yet current ridging echoes prior heat spikes; watch evening model runs for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Jeddah on April 18?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on April 18?
38°C 31%
39°C 19%
37°C 17%
40°C 13%
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
3%
37°C
17%
38°C
25%
39°C
19%
40°C
13%
41°C
11%
42°C
9%
43°C or higher
1%
38°C 31%
39°C 19%
37°C 17%
40°C 13%
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
3%
37°C
17%
38°C
25%
39°C
19%
40°C
13%
41°C
11%
42°C
9%
43°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Jeddah's highest temperature at King Abdulaziz International Airport on April 18, with 38°C leading at 24.5% implied probability amid a persistent high-pressure ridge driving above-average heat following 39°C on April 16 and models favoring 41°C today. Recent National Center for Meteorology (NCM) updates and GFS/ECMWF ensembles project peaks of 37–41°C under clear skies and subsidence, but diverge on sea breeze strength—potentially moderating coastal highs by 1–2°C via increased humidity and onshore flow—differentiating close outcomes. Historical April averages hover near 35°C, yet current ridging echoes prior heat spikes; watch evening model runs for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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