Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles converge on a Jeddah maximum of 36–38°C for June 16, 2026, placing the 37°C outcome at near-certainty in trader pricing. This aligns with June climatology for the Red Sea coast, where average highs reach 36–37°C amid persistent northwesterly flow, elevated humidity, and minimal cloud cover that caps extreme surface heating. Official observations through midday confirm readings climbing steadily toward this range without signs of intensification. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture or local advection could still produce a 1–2°C deviation, though such shifts remain low-probability given stable synoptic conditions and the absence of disruptive weather features.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月16日吉达的最高温度?
37°C 100.0%
30℃或以下 <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$40,145 交易量
$40,145 交易量
30℃或以下
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
是
38°C
否
39°C
否
40°C或更高
否
37°C 100.0%
30℃或以下 <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$40,145 交易量
$40,145 交易量
30℃或以下
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
是
38°C
否
39°C
否
40°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles converge on a Jeddah maximum of 36–38°C for June 16, 2026, placing the 37°C outcome at near-certainty in trader pricing. This aligns with June climatology for the Red Sea coast, where average highs reach 36–37°C amid persistent northwesterly flow, elevated humidity, and minimal cloud cover that caps extreme surface heating. Official observations through midday confirm readings climbing steadily toward this range without signs of intensification. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture or local advection could still produce a 1–2°C deviation, though such shifts remain low-probability given stable synoptic conditions and the absence of disruptive weather features.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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