Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Karachi's highest temperature on April 16, with implied probabilities clustering around 27–30°C at 28–29.5% each, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's latest advisories projecting highs near 29°C under hazy skies and moderate sea breezes. Early April 2026's record single-day rainfall—breaking 41-year marks—and thunderstorms cooled the coastal city to unusual lows of 16°C, but temperatures rebounded sharply to 36.1°C at Jinnah International on April 14 amid drier conditions. Differentiating factors include sea breeze strength capping peaks versus potential subsidence warming if clouds dissipate, as shown in diverging GFS and ECMWF model runs; historical April averages hover at 33–35°C. Watch PMD's evening update for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Karachi on April 16?
Highest temperature in Karachi on April 16?
29°C 30%
30°C 30%
28°C 28%
27°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
24°C或以下
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
27%
28°C
28%
29°C
30%
30°C
30%
31°C
24%
32°C
24%
33°C
27%
34°C或更高
13%
29°C 30%
30°C 30%
28°C 28%
27°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
24°C或以下
$433 交易量
1%
25°C
$200 交易量
1%
26°C
$229 交易量
1%
27°C
$20 交易量
27%
28°C
$21 交易量
28%
29°C
$21 交易量
30%
30°C
$21 交易量
30%
31°C
$26 交易量
24%
32°C
$35 交易量
24%
33°C
$49 交易量
27%
34°C或更高
$944 交易量
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Karachi's highest temperature on April 16, with implied probabilities clustering around 27–30°C at 28–29.5% each, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's latest advisories projecting highs near 29°C under hazy skies and moderate sea breezes. Early April 2026's record single-day rainfall—breaking 41-year marks—and thunderstorms cooled the coastal city to unusual lows of 16°C, but temperatures rebounded sharply to 36.1°C at Jinnah International on April 14 amid drier conditions. Differentiating factors include sea breeze strength capping peaks versus potential subsidence warming if clouds dissipate, as shown in diverging GFS and ECMWF model runs; historical April averages hover at 33–35°C. Watch PMD's evening update for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 14, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
交易量
$1,416结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:12 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Karachi's highest temperature on April 16, with implied probabilities clustering around 27–30°C at 28–29.5% each, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's latest advisories projecting highs near 29°C under hazy skies and moderate sea breezes. Early April 2026's record single-day rainfall—breaking 41-year marks—and thunderstorms cooled the coastal city to unusual lows of 16°C, but temperatures rebounded sharply to 36.1°C at Jinnah International on April 14 amid drier conditions. Differentiating factors include sea breeze strength capping peaks versus potential subsidence warming if clouds dissipate, as shown in diverging GFS and ECMWF model runs; historical April averages hover at 33–35°C. Watch PMD's evening update for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,416结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:12 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Karachi's highest temperature on April 16, with implied probabilities clustering around 27–30°C at 28–29.5% each, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's latest advisories projecting highs near 29°C under hazy skies and moderate sea breezes. Early April 2026's record single-day rainfall—breaking 41-year marks—and thunderstorms cooled the coastal city to unusual lows of 16°C, but temperatures rebounded sharply to 36.1°C at Jinnah International on April 14 amid drier conditions. Differentiating factors include sea breeze strength capping peaks versus potential subsidence warming if clouds dissipate, as shown in diverging GFS and ECMWF model runs; historical April averages hover at 33–35°C. Watch PMD's evening update for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题