Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) observations from the Karachi Airport observatory confirm the highest temperature on April 16 reached exactly 32°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the day concludes without higher readings. This aligns with recent forecast model consensus from PMD and global sources projecting peaks of 31–33°C amid moderating influences like persistent sea breezes and increasing cloud cover from an approaching upper-air system bringing rain risks through April 19. Early April's record rainfall had suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms of around 33°C, with a brief high-pressure ridge enabling recent warming but not exceeding this cap. Realistic challenges would require a late PMD data revision or unverified higher reading from the Masroor Airbase station, though official protocols make this unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Karachi on April 16?
32°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$20,578 交易量
$20,578 交易量
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
No
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
是
33°C
否
34°C或更高
否
32°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$20,578 交易量
$20,578 交易量
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
No
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
是
33°C
否
34°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 14, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) observations from the Karachi Airport observatory confirm the highest temperature on April 16 reached exactly 32°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the day concludes without higher readings. This aligns with recent forecast model consensus from PMD and global sources projecting peaks of 31–33°C amid moderating influences like persistent sea breezes and increasing cloud cover from an approaching upper-air system bringing rain risks through April 19. Early April's record rainfall had suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms of around 33°C, with a brief high-pressure ridge enabling recent warming but not exceeding this cap. Realistic challenges would require a late PMD data revision or unverified higher reading from the Masroor Airbase station, though official protocols make this unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

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