Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 34°C high in Karachi on April 18 at 31.5% implied probability, reflecting Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) guidance and global model ensembles like GFS projecting peaks near 33-35°C amid dry, hazy conditions with light westerly winds. Early April's record 38.7mm rainfall—breaking a 41-year mark—temporarily cooled highs to 29°C by April 14, but clear skies and low humidity have since driven a rebound, aligning with April climatological averages of 33-35°C daytime maxima. High uncertainty stems from variable Arabian Sea breezes that could cap temperatures at 32-33°C via coastal moderation, versus prolonged subsidence pushing 35°C+; dust haze adds further variability. PMD's April 17 bulletin will provide updated observational data ahead of resolution via official station measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Karachi on April 18?
Highest temperature in Karachi on April 18?
34°C 32%
33°C 22%
31°C 21%
35°C or higher 18%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
9%
31°C
21%
32°C
12%
33°C
22%
34°C
32%
35°C or higher
18%
34°C 32%
33°C 22%
31°C 21%
35°C or higher 18%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
9%
31°C
21%
32°C
12%
33°C
22%
34°C
32%
35°C or higher
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 34°C high in Karachi on April 18 at 31.5% implied probability, reflecting Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) guidance and global model ensembles like GFS projecting peaks near 33-35°C amid dry, hazy conditions with light westerly winds. Early April's record 38.7mm rainfall—breaking a 41-year mark—temporarily cooled highs to 29°C by April 14, but clear skies and low humidity have since driven a rebound, aligning with April climatological averages of 33-35°C daytime maxima. High uncertainty stems from variable Arabian Sea breezes that could cap temperatures at 32-33°C via coastal moderation, versus prolonged subsidence pushing 35°C+; dust haze adds further variability. PMD's April 17 bulletin will provide updated observational data ahead of resolution via official station measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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