Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 33°C at Karachi's Masroor Airbase Station on April 22, backed by Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) observations showing a midday peak near 33.5°C amid smoke haze and persistent sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, which cap solar heating and daytime highs. PMD's weekly outlook for April 16–22 forecasted coastal maximums around 32°C under dry, windy conditions, aligning with current hourly data from official stations and global models like those from the UK Met Office. With sunset approaching and no intensification signals, realistic challenges would require abrupt haze clearance and stalled winds for late-afternoon spikes above 34°C—scenarios deemed improbable by prevailing atmospheric stability. Final PMD daily summary expected soon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Karachi on April 22?
33°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$35,193 交易量
$35,193 交易量
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$35,193 交易量
$35,193 交易量
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 20, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 33°C at Karachi's Masroor Airbase Station on April 22, backed by Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) observations showing a midday peak near 33.5°C amid smoke haze and persistent sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, which cap solar heating and daytime highs. PMD's weekly outlook for April 16–22 forecasted coastal maximums around 32°C under dry, windy conditions, aligning with current hourly data from official stations and global models like those from the UK Met Office. With sunset approaching and no intensification signals, realistic challenges would require abrupt haze clearance and stalled winds for late-afternoon spikes above 34°C—scenarios deemed improbable by prevailing atmospheric stability. Final PMD daily summary expected soon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

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警惕外部链接哦。
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