Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Lagos' highest temperature on April 16, with GFS and ECMWF projections centering around 33°C amid variable cloud cover, explaining the near-even odds for 32–35°C outcomes. Recent observations at Murtala Muhammed International Airport recorded peaks of 35°C on April 10 under clear skies, but mid-week convective showers and high humidity moderated highs to 30–33°C, per NiMet bulletins. Differentiating factors include morning insolation levels, sea breeze intrusion from the Gulf of Guinea capping peaks at 31–32°C, versus urban heat island effects and partial clearing pushing toward 34–35°C—consistent with April's climatological average of 32°C in this tropical monsoon regime. Hourly METAR updates from DNMM will sharpen resolution as diurnal heating unfolds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Lagos on April 16?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 16?
34°C 30%
32°C 27%
35°C 25%
33°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
28°C or below
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
12%
32°C
27%
33°C
21%
34°C
30%
35°C
25%
36°C
12%
37°C
8%
38°C or higher
2%
34°C 30%
32°C 27%
35°C 25%
33°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
28°C or below
$284 交易量
1%
29°C
$189 交易量
3%
30°C
$23 交易量
8%
31°C
$6 交易量
12%
32°C
$6 交易量
27%
33°C
$37 交易量
21%
34°C
$6 交易量
30%
35°C
$25 交易量
25%
36°C
$6 交易量
12%
37°C
$6 交易量
8%
38°C or higher
$220 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Lagos' highest temperature on April 16, with GFS and ECMWF projections centering around 33°C amid variable cloud cover, explaining the near-even odds for 32–35°C outcomes. Recent observations at Murtala Muhammed International Airport recorded peaks of 35°C on April 10 under clear skies, but mid-week convective showers and high humidity moderated highs to 30–33°C, per NiMet bulletins. Differentiating factors include morning insolation levels, sea breeze intrusion from the Gulf of Guinea capping peaks at 31–32°C, versus urban heat island effects and partial clearing pushing toward 34–35°C—consistent with April's climatological average of 32°C in this tropical monsoon regime. Hourly METAR updates from DNMM will sharpen resolution as diurnal heating unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
交易量
$809结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Lagos' highest temperature on April 16, with GFS and ECMWF projections centering around 33°C amid variable cloud cover, explaining the near-even odds for 32–35°C outcomes. Recent observations at Murtala Muhammed International Airport recorded peaks of 35°C on April 10 under clear skies, but mid-week convective showers and high humidity moderated highs to 30–33°C, per NiMet bulletins. Differentiating factors include morning insolation levels, sea breeze intrusion from the Gulf of Guinea capping peaks at 31–32°C, versus urban heat island effects and partial clearing pushing toward 34–35°C—consistent with April's climatological average of 32°C in this tropical monsoon regime. Hourly METAR updates from DNMM will sharpen resolution as diurnal heating unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$809结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Lagos' highest temperature on April 16, with GFS and ECMWF projections centering around 33°C amid variable cloud cover, explaining the near-even odds for 32–35°C outcomes. Recent observations at Murtala Muhammed International Airport recorded peaks of 35°C on April 10 under clear skies, but mid-week convective showers and high humidity moderated highs to 30–33°C, per NiMet bulletins. Differentiating factors include morning insolation levels, sea breeze intrusion from the Gulf of Guinea capping peaks at 31–32°C, versus urban heat island effects and partial clearing pushing toward 34–35°C—consistent with April's climatological average of 32°C in this tropical monsoon regime. Hourly METAR updates from DNMM will sharpen resolution as diurnal heating unfolds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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