Numerical weather prediction models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles currently project a daytime high near 32–34°C for Lagos on April 19, fueling trader consensus with 34°C leading at 27.5% implied probability amid tight clustering around 32–34°C outcomes. Recent observations show April highs averaging slightly below the 32°C seasonal norm, with a peak of 35°C on April 10 moderated by persistent Atlantic sea breezes and rising humidity that cap peaks via evaporative cooling. Differentiating factors include model spreads on cloud cover—scattered clouds favor 34°C via enhanced solar insolation, while overcast intervals drop to 32°C—and urban heat island effects amplifying city-center readings. NiMet daily bulletins and fresh model runs expected April 18 could refine these uncertainties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Lagos on April 19?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 19?
34°C 28%
33°C 23%
32°C 20%
31°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-19
27°C or below
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
7%
30°C
7%
31°C
14%
32°C
20%
33°C
23%
34°C
28%
35°C
13%
36°C
5%
37°C or higher
5%
34°C 28%
33°C 23%
32°C 20%
31°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-19
27°C or below
$446 交易量
1%
28°C
$358 交易量
2%
29°C
$79 交易量
7%
30°C
$49 交易量
7%
31°C
$190 交易量
14%
32°C
$54 交易量
20%
33°C
$54 交易量
23%
34°C
$49 交易量
28%
35°C
$55 交易量
13%
36°C
$61 交易量
5%
37°C or higher
$846 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Numerical weather prediction models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles currently project a daytime high near 32–34°C for Lagos on April 19, fueling trader consensus with 34°C leading at 27.5% implied probability amid tight clustering around 32–34°C outcomes. Recent observations show April highs averaging slightly below the 32°C seasonal norm, with a peak of 35°C on April 10 moderated by persistent Atlantic sea breezes and rising humidity that cap peaks via evaporative cooling. Differentiating factors include model spreads on cloud cover—scattered clouds favor 34°C via enhanced solar insolation, while overcast intervals drop to 32°C—and urban heat island effects amplifying city-center readings. NiMet daily bulletins and fresh model runs expected April 18 could refine these uncertainties.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 17, 2026, 12:50 AM ET
交易量
$2,241结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 12:50 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Numerical weather prediction models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles currently project a daytime high near 32–34°C for Lagos on April 19, fueling trader consensus with 34°C leading at 27.5% implied probability amid tight clustering around 32–34°C outcomes. Recent observations show April highs averaging slightly below the 32°C seasonal norm, with a peak of 35°C on April 10 moderated by persistent Atlantic sea breezes and rising humidity that cap peaks via evaporative cooling. Differentiating factors include model spreads on cloud cover—scattered clouds favor 34°C via enhanced solar insolation, while overcast intervals drop to 32°C—and urban heat island effects amplifying city-center readings. NiMet daily bulletins and fresh model runs expected April 18 could refine these uncertainties.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,241结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 12:50 AM ETNumerical weather prediction models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles currently project a daytime high near 32–34°C for Lagos on April 19, fueling trader consensus with 34°C leading at 27.5% implied probability amid tight clustering around 32–34°C outcomes. Recent observations show April highs averaging slightly below the 32°C seasonal norm, with a peak of 35°C on April 10 moderated by persistent Atlantic sea breezes and rising humidity that cap peaks via evaporative cooling. Differentiating factors include model spreads on cloud cover—scattered clouds favor 34°C via enhanced solar insolation, while overcast intervals drop to 32°C—and urban heat island effects amplifying city-center readings. NiMet daily bulletins and fresh model runs expected April 18 could refine these uncertainties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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