Official METAR observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos, Nigeria—the authoritative resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 20, 2026, reached 28°C or below, driving Polymarket's 100% trader consensus on this outcome. Persistent low-level clouds and afternoon thunderstorms, as predicted by Nigeria Meteorological Agency (NiMet) forecasts, sharply reduced solar insolation and suppressed daytime heating, well below April climatological averages of 32–34°C amid the transition to wet season. This aligns with historical patterns where early rains cool urban heat islands. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from equipment calibration issues or auxiliary station discrepancies, though airport synoptic records carry highest evidentiary weight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Lagos on April 20?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 20?
28°C or below 99.9%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$177,304 交易量
$177,304 交易量
2026-04-20
28°C or below
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
28°C or below 99.9%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$177,304 交易量
$177,304 交易量
2026-04-20
28°C or below
$68,649 交易量
Yes
29°C
$12,734 交易量
No
30°C
$9,869 交易量
No
31°C
$9,912 交易量
No
32°C
$13,344 交易量
No
33°C
$15,262 交易量
No
34°C
$12,964 交易量
No
35°C
$10,705 交易量
No
36°C
$9,086 交易量
No
37°C
$6,393 交易量
No
38°C or higher
$8,387 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official METAR observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos, Nigeria—the authoritative resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 20, 2026, reached 28°C or below, driving Polymarket's 100% trader consensus on this outcome. Persistent low-level clouds and afternoon thunderstorms, as predicted by Nigeria Meteorological Agency (NiMet) forecasts, sharply reduced solar insolation and suppressed daytime heating, well below April climatological averages of 32–34°C amid the transition to wet season. This aligns with historical patterns where early rains cool urban heat islands. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from equipment calibration issues or auxiliary station discrepancies, though airport synoptic records carry highest evidentiary weight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 18, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
交易量
$177,304结束日期
2026-04-20市场开放时间
Apr 18, 2026, 12:27 AM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official METAR observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos, Nigeria—the authoritative resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 20, 2026, reached 28°C or below, driving Polymarket's 100% trader consensus on this outcome. Persistent low-level clouds and afternoon thunderstorms, as predicted by Nigeria Meteorological Agency (NiMet) forecasts, sharply reduced solar insolation and suppressed daytime heating, well below April climatological averages of 32–34°C amid the transition to wet season. This aligns with historical patterns where early rains cool urban heat islands. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from equipment calibration issues or auxiliary station discrepancies, though airport synoptic records carry highest evidentiary weight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$177,304结束日期
2026-04-20市场开放时间
Apr 18, 2026, 12:27 AM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Official METAR observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos, Nigeria—the authoritative resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 20, 2026, reached 28°C or below, driving Polymarket's 100% trader consensus on this outcome. Persistent low-level clouds and afternoon thunderstorms, as predicted by Nigeria Meteorological Agency (NiMet) forecasts, sharply reduced solar insolation and suppressed daytime heating, well below April climatological averages of 32–34°C amid the transition to wet season. This aligns with historical patterns where early rains cool urban heat islands. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from equipment calibration issues or auxiliary station discrepancies, though airport synoptic records carry highest evidentiary weight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题