Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport in Lagos recorded a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 3, driving Polymarket traders to a 100% implied probability for this outcome, with negligible odds on higher bins. This aligns with real-time METAR reports showing daytime highs peaking around 33-34°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early May climatology where average maximums hover near 32°C amid fading harmattan dust and rising humidity from the approaching monsoon season. No heat dome or unusual advection elevated temperatures beyond this; model consensus from NiMet and global forecasts anticipated similar levels. Final resolution hinges on quality-controlled airport data, but a challenge would require an anomalous late revision uncovering a higher verified reading, an extremely rare occurrence in standard meteorological protocols.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Lagos on May 3?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 3?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$46,008 交易量
$46,008 交易量
2026-05-03
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$46,008 交易量
$46,008 交易量
2026-05-03
27°C or below
$7,638 交易量
No
28°C
$14,115 交易量
No
29°C
$2,559 交易量
No
30°C
$1,407 交易量
No
31°C
$2,372 交易量
No
32°C
$3,467 交易量
No
33°C
$1,841 交易量
No
34°C
$4,106 交易量
Yes
35°C
$2,579 交易量
No
36°C
$2,608 交易量
No
37°C or higher
$3,317 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport in Lagos recorded a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 3, driving Polymarket traders to a 100% implied probability for this outcome, with negligible odds on higher bins. This aligns with real-time METAR reports showing daytime highs peaking around 33-34°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early May climatology where average maximums hover near 32°C amid fading harmattan dust and rising humidity from the approaching monsoon season. No heat dome or unusual advection elevated temperatures beyond this; model consensus from NiMet and global forecasts anticipated similar levels. Final resolution hinges on quality-controlled airport data, but a challenge would require an anomalous late revision uncovering a higher verified reading, an extremely rare occurrence in standard meteorological protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 1, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$46,008结束日期
2026-05-03市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 12:18 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport in Lagos recorded a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 3, driving Polymarket traders to a 100% implied probability for this outcome, with negligible odds on higher bins. This aligns with real-time METAR reports showing daytime highs peaking around 33-34°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early May climatology where average maximums hover near 32°C amid fading harmattan dust and rising humidity from the approaching monsoon season. No heat dome or unusual advection elevated temperatures beyond this; model consensus from NiMet and global forecasts anticipated similar levels. Final resolution hinges on quality-controlled airport data, but a challenge would require an anomalous late revision uncovering a higher verified reading, an extremely rare occurrence in standard meteorological protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$46,008结束日期
2026-05-03市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 12:18 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport in Lagos recorded a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 3, driving Polymarket traders to a 100% implied probability for this outcome, with negligible odds on higher bins. This aligns with real-time METAR reports showing daytime highs peaking around 33-34°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early May climatology where average maximums hover near 32°C amid fading harmattan dust and rising humidity from the approaching monsoon season. No heat dome or unusual advection elevated temperatures beyond this; model consensus from NiMet and global forecasts anticipated similar levels. Final resolution hinges on quality-controlled airport data, but a challenge would require an anomalous late revision uncovering a higher verified reading, an extremely rare occurrence in standard meteorological protocols.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题