Official Met Office observations confirm London's highest temperature on May 2 peaked at 23°C, recorded at key stations including Heathrow Airport amid stable high-pressure systems and moderate southerly winds that capped warming potential. This aligns with pre-event forecast consensus from UKV and ECMWF models predicting maxima near 23°C under mild spring conditions, driving traders' 100% implied probability on that outcome as real-money bets reflect observed data certainty. While provisional reports are firm, rare scenarios like post-verification adjustments for sensor anomalies or overlooked higher readings from qualifying urban sites could challenge it, though no such discrepancies have surfaced. Final daily bulletin expected imminently.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in London on May 2?
Highest temperature in London on May 2?
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$226,869 交易量
$226,869 交易量
2026-05-02
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$226,869 交易量
$226,869 交易量
2026-05-02
15°C or below
$8,509 交易量
No
16°C
$7,630 交易量
No
17°C
$9,469 交易量
No
18°C
$12,034 交易量
No
19°C
$12,957 交易量
No
20°C
$20,497 交易量
No
21°C
$20,491 交易量
No
22°C
$42,646 交易量
No
23°C
$30,040 交易量
Yes
24°C
$38,540 交易量
No
25°C or higher
$24,055 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Met Office observations confirm London's highest temperature on May 2 peaked at 23°C, recorded at key stations including Heathrow Airport amid stable high-pressure systems and moderate southerly winds that capped warming potential. This aligns with pre-event forecast consensus from UKV and ECMWF models predicting maxima near 23°C under mild spring conditions, driving traders' 100% implied probability on that outcome as real-money bets reflect observed data certainty. While provisional reports are firm, rare scenarios like post-verification adjustments for sensor anomalies or overlooked higher readings from qualifying urban sites could challenge it, though no such discrepancies have surfaced. Final daily bulletin expected imminently.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 30, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$226,869结束日期
2026-05-02市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Met Office observations confirm London's highest temperature on May 2 peaked at 23°C, recorded at key stations including Heathrow Airport amid stable high-pressure systems and moderate southerly winds that capped warming potential. This aligns with pre-event forecast consensus from UKV and ECMWF models predicting maxima near 23°C under mild spring conditions, driving traders' 100% implied probability on that outcome as real-money bets reflect observed data certainty. While provisional reports are firm, rare scenarios like post-verification adjustments for sensor anomalies or overlooked higher readings from qualifying urban sites could challenge it, though no such discrepancies have surfaced. Final daily bulletin expected imminently.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$226,869结束日期
2026-05-02市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official Met Office observations confirm London's highest temperature on May 2 peaked at 23°C, recorded at key stations including Heathrow Airport amid stable high-pressure systems and moderate southerly winds that capped warming potential. This aligns with pre-event forecast consensus from UKV and ECMWF models predicting maxima near 23°C under mild spring conditions, driving traders' 100% implied probability on that outcome as real-money bets reflect observed data certainty. While provisional reports are firm, rare scenarios like post-verification adjustments for sensor anomalies or overlooked higher readings from qualifying urban sites could challenge it, though no such discrepancies have surfaced. Final daily bulletin expected imminently.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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