Met Office observational data from key London stations, including Heathrow and St James's Park, confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached 15°C amid persistent overcast skies and a cool northeasterly breeze that suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating. This aligns with the latest forecast model consensus projecting maxima around 15–16°C, reflecting unsettled spring weather patterns with low-pressure influence over southern England. Trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for 15°C underscores the reliability of these verified measurements, as Polymarket resolves on finalized Wunderground data from London City Airport (EGLC) to whole degrees Celsius. Realistic challenges would require rare post-processing revisions uncovering a higher peak, though multi-station agreement makes this improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in London on May 4?
Highest temperature in London on May 4?
15°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$347,218 交易量
$347,218 交易量
2026-05-04
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$347,218 交易量
$347,218 交易量
2026-05-04
12°C or below
$4,270 交易量
No
13°C
$3,233 交易量
No
14°C
$5,791 交易量
No
15°C
$110,289 交易量
Yes
16°C
$69,072 交易量
No
17°C
$55,665 交易量
No
18°C
$31,470 交易量
No
19°C
$30,859 交易量
No
20°C
$19,216 交易量
No
21°C
$11,316 交易量
No
22°C or higher
$6,037 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office observational data from key London stations, including Heathrow and St James's Park, confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached 15°C amid persistent overcast skies and a cool northeasterly breeze that suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating. This aligns with the latest forecast model consensus projecting maxima around 15–16°C, reflecting unsettled spring weather patterns with low-pressure influence over southern England. Trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for 15°C underscores the reliability of these verified measurements, as Polymarket resolves on finalized Wunderground data from London City Airport (EGLC) to whole degrees Celsius. Realistic challenges would require rare post-processing revisions uncovering a higher peak, though multi-station agreement makes this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 2, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
交易量
$347,218结束日期
2026-05-04市场开放时间
May 2, 2026, 12:44 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office observational data from key London stations, including Heathrow and St James's Park, confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached 15°C amid persistent overcast skies and a cool northeasterly breeze that suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating. This aligns with the latest forecast model consensus projecting maxima around 15–16°C, reflecting unsettled spring weather patterns with low-pressure influence over southern England. Trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for 15°C underscores the reliability of these verified measurements, as Polymarket resolves on finalized Wunderground data from London City Airport (EGLC) to whole degrees Celsius. Realistic challenges would require rare post-processing revisions uncovering a higher peak, though multi-station agreement makes this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$347,218结束日期
2026-05-04市场开放时间
May 2, 2026, 12:44 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Met Office observational data from key London stations, including Heathrow and St James's Park, confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached 15°C amid persistent overcast skies and a cool northeasterly breeze that suppressed solar insolation and daytime heating. This aligns with the latest forecast model consensus projecting maxima around 15–16°C, reflecting unsettled spring weather patterns with low-pressure influence over southern England. Trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for 15°C underscores the reliability of these verified measurements, as Polymarket resolves on finalized Wunderground data from London City Airport (EGLC) to whole degrees Celsius. Realistic challenges would require rare post-processing revisions uncovering a higher peak, though multi-station agreement makes this improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题