India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations from Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport in Lucknow confirm a maximum temperature of 39.8°C on April 16, 2026, fitting squarely within the 40°C outcome bin used by the market, with departures +1.3°C above normal amid persistent clear skies and dry conditions across Uttar Pradesh. This positioning reflects strong alignment between real-time airport measurements, short-range forecast models predicting peaks around 40°C, and climatological norms for mid-April, where highs typically range 38–42°C under high-pressure dominance. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability underscores minimal uncertainty, as the diurnal heating cycle has peaked without convective activity or wind shifts to drive further increases. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-evening surge from unforecasted solar heating or data revisions in IMD's final bulletin, both low-probability given current atmospheric stability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月16日勒克瑙的最高温度？
4月16日勒克瑙的最高温度？
40°C 100.0%
37°C或以下 <1%
38°C <1%
39°C <1%
$72,140 交易量
$72,140 交易量
2026-04-16
37°C或以下
否
38°C
否
39°C
否
40°C
是
41°C
否
42°C
否
43°C
否
44°C
否
45°C
否
46°C
否
47°C或更高
否
40°C 100.0%
37°C或以下 <1%
38°C <1%
39°C <1%
$72,140 交易量
$72,140 交易量
2026-04-16
37°C或以下
$3,527 交易量
否
38°C
$7,094 交易量
否
39°C
$12,143 交易量
否
40°C
$12,965 交易量
是
41°C
$12,931 交易量
否
42°C
$11,413 交易量
否
43°C
$5,632 交易量
否
44°C
$1,960 交易量
否
45°C
$2,080 交易量
否
46°C
$1,385 交易量
否
47°C或更高
$1,010 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations from Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport in Lucknow confirm a maximum temperature of 39.8°C on April 16, 2026, fitting squarely within the 40°C outcome bin used by the market, with departures +1.3°C above normal amid persistent clear skies and dry conditions across Uttar Pradesh. This positioning reflects strong alignment between real-time airport measurements, short-range forecast models predicting peaks around 40°C, and climatological norms for mid-April, where highs typically range 38–42°C under high-pressure dominance. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability underscores minimal uncertainty, as the diurnal heating cycle has peaked without convective activity or wind shifts to drive further increases. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-evening surge from unforecasted solar heating or data revisions in IMD's final bulletin, both low-probability given current atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
交易量
$72,140结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations from Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport in Lucknow confirm a maximum temperature of 39.8°C on April 16, 2026, fitting squarely within the 40°C outcome bin used by the market, with departures +1.3°C above normal amid persistent clear skies and dry conditions across Uttar Pradesh. This positioning reflects strong alignment between real-time airport measurements, short-range forecast models predicting peaks around 40°C, and climatological norms for mid-April, where highs typically range 38–42°C under high-pressure dominance. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability underscores minimal uncertainty, as the diurnal heating cycle has peaked without convective activity or wind shifts to drive further increases. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-evening surge from unforecasted solar heating or data revisions in IMD's final bulletin, both low-probability given current atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$72,140结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations from Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport in Lucknow confirm a maximum temperature of 39.8°C on April 16, 2026, fitting squarely within the 40°C outcome bin used by the market, with departures +1.3°C above normal amid persistent clear skies and dry conditions across Uttar Pradesh. This positioning reflects strong alignment between real-time airport measurements, short-range forecast models predicting peaks around 40°C, and climatological norms for mid-April, where highs typically range 38–42°C under high-pressure dominance. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability underscores minimal uncertainty, as the diurnal heating cycle has peaked without convective activity or wind shifts to drive further increases. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-evening surge from unforecasted solar heating or data revisions in IMD's final bulletin, both low-probability given current atmospheric stability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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