India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 41°C in Lucknow on April 18 under clear skies, driving trader consensus with 41°C and 42°C tied at 34.5% implied probabilities each, reflecting the ongoing heatwave intensification across Uttar Pradesh. Recent IMD bulletins highlight a gradual 3-4°C rise in northwest India maxima through April 18, fueled by dry westerly winds, subsidence from high-pressure systems, and lack of cloud cover—conditions that recently pushed daytime highs near 40-42°C in the region. Differentiating factors include peak-hour solar heating, urban heat island effects in Lucknow, and minor model variations in global forecasts like GFS; new IMD updates expected April 17 could refine this, amid climatological April norms of 37-39°C now exceeded by anomalous warmth.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 18?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 18?
41°C 37%
42°C 35%
40°C 8%
43°C 6%
39°C or below
4%
40°C
8%
41°C
37%
42°C
35%
43°C
6%
44°C
7%
45°C
1%
46°C
1%
47°C
1%
48°C
1%
49°C or higher
1%
41°C 37%
42°C 35%
40°C 8%
43°C 6%
39°C or below
4%
40°C
8%
41°C
37%
42°C
35%
43°C
6%
44°C
7%
45°C
1%
46°C
1%
47°C
1%
48°C
1%
49°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 41°C in Lucknow on April 18 under clear skies, driving trader consensus with 41°C and 42°C tied at 34.5% implied probabilities each, reflecting the ongoing heatwave intensification across Uttar Pradesh. Recent IMD bulletins highlight a gradual 3-4°C rise in northwest India maxima through April 18, fueled by dry westerly winds, subsidence from high-pressure systems, and lack of cloud cover—conditions that recently pushed daytime highs near 40-42°C in the region. Differentiating factors include peak-hour solar heating, urban heat island effects in Lucknow, and minor model variations in global forecasts like GFS; new IMD updates expected April 17 could refine this, amid climatological April norms of 37-39°C now exceeded by anomalous warmth.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题