India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations from the Lucknow-Amausi Airport station—the official recording site—confirm a peak temperature of 40.3°C reached around 15:30 IST on April 27, 2026, with a slight +0.8°C departure from seasonal norms, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 42°C or below. Clear skies and light winds supported daytime heating typical of late April's pre-monsoon climatology, where daily maxima average 39–41°C, but post-peak cooling has commenced with sunset near 18:35 IST and evening readings dropping to 37–38°C. This observational data overrides earlier forecasts near 42°C, reflecting model consensus on moderate heatwave conditions. Realistic challenges include an anomalous late-afternoon surge from intensified solar insolation, though improbable given historical peak timing (14:00–16:00 IST) and current downward trend; final IMD bulletin expected shortly will confirm resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 27?
42°C or below 100.0%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
45°C <1%
$41,893 交易量
$41,893 交易量
42°C or below
Yes
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C
No
50°C
No
51°C
No
52°C or higher
No
42°C or below 100.0%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
45°C <1%
$41,893 交易量
$41,893 交易量
42°C or below
Yes
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C
No
50°C
No
51°C
No
52°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 25, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations from the Lucknow-Amausi Airport station—the official recording site—confirm a peak temperature of 40.3°C reached around 15:30 IST on April 27, 2026, with a slight +0.8°C departure from seasonal norms, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 42°C or below. Clear skies and light winds supported daytime heating typical of late April's pre-monsoon climatology, where daily maxima average 39–41°C, but post-peak cooling has commenced with sunset near 18:35 IST and evening readings dropping to 37–38°C. This observational data overrides earlier forecasts near 42°C, reflecting model consensus on moderate heatwave conditions. Realistic challenges include an anomalous late-afternoon surge from intensified solar insolation, though improbable given historical peak timing (14:00–16:00 IST) and current downward trend; final IMD bulletin expected shortly will confirm resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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