Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a maximum temperature of 35°C or below in Lucknow on April 30, 2026, reflecting India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations and forecasts showing a daytime peak around 34-35°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated rain and thundershowers. This positioning stems from a sharp cooling trend over the past week—following mid-April highs above 41°C—driven by a western disturbance introducing cloud cover, gusty winds up to 50 kmph, and light rainfall (0.8 mm recorded recently), suppressing solar heating and deviating -7.8°C below normal yesterday at 31.7°C. With current evening readings at 23°C by 23:30 IST, the day's official IMD measurement at the Lucknow observatory is all but locked in; only an improbable late-hour measurement revision could challenge it, as models and analogs confirm no further intensification potential. IMD's next bulletin tomorrow will finalize resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 30?
35°C or below 100.0%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$65,193 交易量
$65,193 交易量
35°C or below
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C or higher
No
35°C or below 100.0%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$65,193 交易量
$65,193 交易量
35°C or below
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 28, 2026, 2:30 PM ET
已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a maximum temperature of 35°C or below in Lucknow on April 30, 2026, reflecting India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations and forecasts showing a daytime peak around 34-35°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated rain and thundershowers. This positioning stems from a sharp cooling trend over the past week—following mid-April highs above 41°C—driven by a western disturbance introducing cloud cover, gusty winds up to 50 kmph, and light rainfall (0.8 mm recorded recently), suppressing solar heating and deviating -7.8°C below normal yesterday at 31.7°C. With current evening readings at 23°C by 23:30 IST, the day's official IMD measurement at the Lucknow observatory is all but locked in; only an improbable late-hour measurement revision could challenge it, as models and analogs confirm no further intensification potential. IMD's next bulletin tomorrow will finalize resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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