Active monsoon conditions over northern India, with persistent cloud cover, humidity, and scattered rain or thundershowers, represent the dominant factor holding Lucknow's July 11 maximum near 31–34°C. Official forecasts from sources like IMD and AccuWeather project highs in this band, consistent with climatological suppression of peak temperatures during peak monsoon versus the 40°C+ extremes seen earlier in summer. Slight variations in rainfall timing, intensity, or steering patterns across models create the tight clustering of implied probabilities, as even modest differences in insolation or convective activity can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and the next 48-hour observational data will likely refine these odds as the event nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月11日勒克瑙的最高温度？
7月11日勒克瑙的最高温度？
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$47,418 交易量
$47,418 交易量
2026-07-11
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$47,418 交易量
$47,418 交易量
2026-07-11
29°C or below
$2,617 交易量
No
30°C
$2,288 交易量
No
31°C
$2,164 交易量
No
32°C
$4,949 交易量
No
33°C
$8,389 交易量
No
34°C
$11,326 交易量
Yes
35°C
$5,448 交易量
No
36°C
$4,128 交易量
No
37°C
$2,152 交易量
No
38°C
$2,076 交易量
No
39°C or higher
$1,881 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active monsoon conditions over northern India, with persistent cloud cover, humidity, and scattered rain or thundershowers, represent the dominant factor holding Lucknow's July 11 maximum near 31–34°C. Official forecasts from sources like IMD and AccuWeather project highs in this band, consistent with climatological suppression of peak temperatures during peak monsoon versus the 40°C+ extremes seen earlier in summer. Slight variations in rainfall timing, intensity, or steering patterns across models create the tight clustering of implied probabilities, as even modest differences in insolation or convective activity can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and the next 48-hour observational data will likely refine these odds as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$47,418结束日期
2026-07-11市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active monsoon conditions over northern India, with persistent cloud cover, humidity, and scattered rain or thundershowers, represent the dominant factor holding Lucknow's July 11 maximum near 31–34°C. Official forecasts from sources like IMD and AccuWeather project highs in this band, consistent with climatological suppression of peak temperatures during peak monsoon versus the 40°C+ extremes seen earlier in summer. Slight variations in rainfall timing, intensity, or steering patterns across models create the tight clustering of implied probabilities, as even modest differences in insolation or convective activity can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and the next 48-hour observational data will likely refine these odds as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$47,418结束日期
2026-07-11市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Active monsoon conditions over northern India, with persistent cloud cover, humidity, and scattered rain or thundershowers, represent the dominant factor holding Lucknow's July 11 maximum near 31–34°C. Official forecasts from sources like IMD and AccuWeather project highs in this band, consistent with climatological suppression of peak temperatures during peak monsoon versus the 40°C+ extremes seen earlier in summer. Slight variations in rainfall timing, intensity, or steering patterns across models create the tight clustering of implied probabilities, as even modest differences in insolation or convective activity can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and the next 48-hour observational data will likely refine these odds as the event nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题