Official observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport, the resolution station for this market, recorded a maximum temperature of 26°C on April 17, solidifying trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for that outcome as final data emerged overnight. This reading, verified by Spain's AEMET meteorological agency, exceeded the April climatological average high of about 19°C amid a high-pressure system fostering clear skies and above-normal warmth, consistent with model forecasts predicting mid-20s Celsius peaks. While measurement protocols ensure high reliability, a realistic challenge could arise from rare post hoc revisions if equipment calibration issues or data outliers are identified in quality-controlled reports, though such adjustments are infrequent for daily maxima.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Madrid on April 17?
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$117,951 交易量
$117,951 交易量
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$117,951 交易量
$117,951 交易量
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 15, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport, the resolution station for this market, recorded a maximum temperature of 26°C on April 17, solidifying trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for that outcome as final data emerged overnight. This reading, verified by Spain's AEMET meteorological agency, exceeded the April climatological average high of about 19°C amid a high-pressure system fostering clear skies and above-normal warmth, consistent with model forecasts predicting mid-20s Celsius peaks. While measurement protocols ensure high reliability, a realistic challenge could arise from rare post hoc revisions if equipment calibration issues or data outliers are identified in quality-controlled reports, though such adjustments are infrequent for daily maxima.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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