Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 27°C (32%) and 26°C (29%) for Madrid's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest AEMET guidance and ECMWF model runs projecting peaks in the mid-20s under a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Iberia, fostering clear skies and enhanced insolation. Recent days featured cooler highs around 21°C on April 14 amid transient cloud cover, but southerly flows and reduced mixing have spurred a warming trend above the April climatological average of 18°C. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in boundary layer stability and potential afternoon cumulus development, with ensemble spreads of 1–2°C; GFS runs lean slightly warmer. New forecast updates from AEMET and ECMWF expected April 16 morning could refine trader positioning ahead of resolution via official station observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Madrid on April 17?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 17?
27°C 32%
26°C 30%
25°C 16%
28°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
9%
25°C
16%
26°C
30%
27°C
32%
28°C
11%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
6%
27°C 32%
26°C 30%
25°C 16%
28°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
20°C or below
$509 交易量
1%
21°C
$32 交易量
1%
22°C
$114 交易量
2%
23°C
$141 交易量
5%
24°C
$50 交易量
9%
25°C
$0 交易量
16%
26°C
$6 交易量
30%
27°C
$25 交易量
32%
28°C
$10 交易量
11%
29°C
$20 交易量
8%
30°C or higher
$10 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 27°C (32%) and 26°C (29%) for Madrid's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest AEMET guidance and ECMWF model runs projecting peaks in the mid-20s under a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Iberia, fostering clear skies and enhanced insolation. Recent days featured cooler highs around 21°C on April 14 amid transient cloud cover, but southerly flows and reduced mixing have spurred a warming trend above the April climatological average of 18°C. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in boundary layer stability and potential afternoon cumulus development, with ensemble spreads of 1–2°C; GFS runs lean slightly warmer. New forecast updates from AEMET and ECMWF expected April 16 morning could refine trader positioning ahead of resolution via official station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 15, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
交易量
$832结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:11 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 27°C (32%) and 26°C (29%) for Madrid's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest AEMET guidance and ECMWF model runs projecting peaks in the mid-20s under a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Iberia, fostering clear skies and enhanced insolation. Recent days featured cooler highs around 21°C on April 14 amid transient cloud cover, but southerly flows and reduced mixing have spurred a warming trend above the April climatological average of 18°C. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in boundary layer stability and potential afternoon cumulus development, with ensemble spreads of 1–2°C; GFS runs lean slightly warmer. New forecast updates from AEMET and ECMWF expected April 16 morning could refine trader positioning ahead of resolution via official station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$832结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:11 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 27°C (32%) and 26°C (29%) for Madrid's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest AEMET guidance and ECMWF model runs projecting peaks in the mid-20s under a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Iberia, fostering clear skies and enhanced insolation. Recent days featured cooler highs around 21°C on April 14 amid transient cloud cover, but southerly flows and reduced mixing have spurred a warming trend above the April climatological average of 18°C. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in boundary layer stability and potential afternoon cumulus development, with ensemble spreads of 1–2°C; GFS runs lean slightly warmer. New forecast updates from AEMET and ECMWF expected April 16 morning could refine trader positioning ahead of resolution via official station observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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