Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 19, 2026, reached 28°C, driving market-implied odds to 100% consensus on this outcome as traders incorporated real-time data throughout the day. This peak aligned precisely with the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs from April 17-18, which converged on 28°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Iberia fostering subsidence warming, clear skies, and light southerly flows—conditions well above Madrid's April climatological average high of 18°C. Such strong evidence reflects the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets, though rare scenarios like post hoc data revisions from quality control or overlooked sensor readings could theoretically challenge resolution. No further updates expected beyond AEMET's standard 24-hour validation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Madrid on April 19?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 19?
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$98,229 交易量
$98,229 交易量
2026-04-19
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
否
28°C
是
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或更高
否
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$98,229 交易量
$98,229 交易量
2026-04-19
21°C or below
$2,055 交易量
No
22°C
$2,569 交易量
No
23°C
$1,784 交易量
No
24°C
$2,731 交易量
No
25°C
$6,090 交易量
No
26°C
$13,984 交易量
No
27°C
$26,769 交易量
否
28°C
$14,090 交易量
是
29°C
$12,982 交易量
否
30°C
$9,105 交易量
否
31°C或更高
$6,071 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 19, 2026, reached 28°C, driving market-implied odds to 100% consensus on this outcome as traders incorporated real-time data throughout the day. This peak aligned precisely with the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs from April 17-18, which converged on 28°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Iberia fostering subsidence warming, clear skies, and light southerly flows—conditions well above Madrid's April climatological average high of 18°C. Such strong evidence reflects the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets, though rare scenarios like post hoc data revisions from quality control or overlooked sensor readings could theoretically challenge resolution. No further updates expected beyond AEMET's standard 24-hour validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
交易量
$98,229结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 19, 2026, reached 28°C, driving market-implied odds to 100% consensus on this outcome as traders incorporated real-time data throughout the day. This peak aligned precisely with the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs from April 17-18, which converged on 28°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Iberia fostering subsidence warming, clear skies, and light southerly flows—conditions well above Madrid's April climatological average high of 18°C. Such strong evidence reflects the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets, though rare scenarios like post hoc data revisions from quality control or overlooked sensor readings could theoretically challenge resolution. No further updates expected beyond AEMET's standard 24-hour validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$98,229结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official AEMET observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 19, 2026, reached 28°C, driving market-implied odds to 100% consensus on this outcome as traders incorporated real-time data throughout the day. This peak aligned precisely with the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs from April 17-18, which converged on 28°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Iberia fostering subsidence warming, clear skies, and light southerly flows—conditions well above Madrid's April climatological average high of 18°C. Such strong evidence reflects the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets, though rare scenarios like post hoc data revisions from quality control or overlooked sensor readings could theoretically challenge resolution. No further updates expected beyond AEMET's standard 24-hour validation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题