Official AEMET observations from the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport station—the market's resolution source—recorded a peak temperature of 27.7°C around 16:00–17:00 local time on April 20, 2026, rounding to 28°C under standard meteorological conventions and locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligned precisely with pre-event AEMET municipal forecasts projecting 28°C highs amid a persistent high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light winds that maximized daytime solar heating in the region. Nearby stations like Alcalá de Henares hit 28.5°C, reinforcing the data. Realistic challenges are minimal post-validation but could include rare official revisions from equipment calibration issues or overlooked hourly peaks, though AEMET's quality controls make this unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Madrid on April 20?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 20?
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$113,828 交易量
$113,828 交易量
2026-04-20
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$113,828 交易量
$113,828 交易量
2026-04-20
21°C or below
$4,015 交易量
No
22°C
$13,336 交易量
No
23°C
$5,217 交易量
No
24°C
$4,714 交易量
No
25°C
$6,279 交易量
No
26°C
$20,046 交易量
No
27°C
$15,496 交易量
No
28°C
$15,326 交易量
Yes
29°C
$11,557 交易量
No
30°C
$10,604 交易量
No
31°C or higher
$7,239 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations from the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport station—the market's resolution source—recorded a peak temperature of 27.7°C around 16:00–17:00 local time on April 20, 2026, rounding to 28°C under standard meteorological conventions and locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligned precisely with pre-event AEMET municipal forecasts projecting 28°C highs amid a persistent high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light winds that maximized daytime solar heating in the region. Nearby stations like Alcalá de Henares hit 28.5°C, reinforcing the data. Realistic challenges are minimal post-validation but could include rare official revisions from equipment calibration issues or overlooked hourly peaks, though AEMET's quality controls make this unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
交易量
$113,828结束日期
2026-04-20市场开放时间
Apr 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations from the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport station—the market's resolution source—recorded a peak temperature of 27.7°C around 16:00–17:00 local time on April 20, 2026, rounding to 28°C under standard meteorological conventions and locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligned precisely with pre-event AEMET municipal forecasts projecting 28°C highs amid a persistent high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light winds that maximized daytime solar heating in the region. Nearby stations like Alcalá de Henares hit 28.5°C, reinforcing the data. Realistic challenges are minimal post-validation but could include rare official revisions from equipment calibration issues or overlooked hourly peaks, though AEMET's quality controls make this unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$113,828结束日期
2026-04-20市场开放时间
Apr 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official AEMET observations from the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport station—the market's resolution source—recorded a peak temperature of 27.7°C around 16:00–17:00 local time on April 20, 2026, rounding to 28°C under standard meteorological conventions and locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligned precisely with pre-event AEMET municipal forecasts projecting 28°C highs amid a persistent high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light winds that maximized daytime solar heating in the region. Nearby stations like Alcalá de Henares hit 28.5°C, reinforcing the data. Realistic challenges are minimal post-validation but could include rare official revisions from equipment calibration issues or overlooked hourly peaks, though AEMET's quality controls make this unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题