Official observations from Spain's Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the reference station for this market, recorded a maximum temperature of 25°C on April 28, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability. Hourly measurements confirmed this peak amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with pre-event forecast models from ECMWF and GFS predicting highs near 25–26°C under high-pressure influence. April climatology at Barajas typically sees average highs of 19°C, but recent mild Atlantic flows supported this above-normal reading. Realistic challenges are minimal—only an official data revision, such as sensor recalibration, could shift resolution, though AEMET daily maxima are rarely amended post-validation. Traders await final AEMET bulletin for closure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Madrid on April 28?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 28?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$73,959 交易量
$73,959 交易量
2026-04-28
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$73,959 交易量
$73,959 交易量
2026-04-28
19°C or below
$1,898 交易量
No
20°C
$2,241 交易量
No
21°C
$3,198 交易量
No
22°C
$2,277 交易量
No
23°C
$13,092 交易量
No
24°C
$10,247 交易量
No
25°C
$12,744 交易量
Yes
26°C
$9,090 交易量
No
27°C
$7,753 交易量
No
28°C
$6,206 交易量
No
29°C or higher
$5,211 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Spain's Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the reference station for this market, recorded a maximum temperature of 25°C on April 28, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability. Hourly measurements confirmed this peak amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with pre-event forecast models from ECMWF and GFS predicting highs near 25–26°C under high-pressure influence. April climatology at Barajas typically sees average highs of 19°C, but recent mild Atlantic flows supported this above-normal reading. Realistic challenges are minimal—only an official data revision, such as sensor recalibration, could shift resolution, though AEMET daily maxima are rarely amended post-validation. Traders await final AEMET bulletin for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 26, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
交易量
$73,959结束日期
2026-04-28市场开放时间
Apr 26, 2026, 12:14 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Spain's Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the reference station for this market, recorded a maximum temperature of 25°C on April 28, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability. Hourly measurements confirmed this peak amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with pre-event forecast models from ECMWF and GFS predicting highs near 25–26°C under high-pressure influence. April climatology at Barajas typically sees average highs of 19°C, but recent mild Atlantic flows supported this above-normal reading. Realistic challenges are minimal—only an official data revision, such as sensor recalibration, could shift resolution, though AEMET daily maxima are rarely amended post-validation. Traders await final AEMET bulletin for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$73,959结束日期
2026-04-28市场开放时间
Apr 26, 2026, 12:14 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from Spain's Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the reference station for this market, recorded a maximum temperature of 25°C on April 28, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability. Hourly measurements confirmed this peak amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with pre-event forecast models from ECMWF and GFS predicting highs near 25–26°C under high-pressure influence. April climatology at Barajas typically sees average highs of 19°C, but recent mild Atlantic flows supported this above-normal reading. Realistic challenges are minimal—only an official data revision, such as sensor recalibration, could shift resolution, though AEMET daily maxima are rarely amended post-validation. Traders await final AEMET bulletin for closure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题