Official observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground historical data for station LEMD, confirm a maximum temperature of 25°C on May 1, 2026—locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability with real capital at stake. This outcome reflects mild atmospheric conditions under a persistent high-pressure ridge over Iberia, featuring partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and post-morning clearing that enabled steady warming from early lows around 12°C, aligning precisely with AEMET's finalized daily summaries and pre-event ECMWF model ensembles projecting 24-26°C highs. Early May climatology supports such moderate peaks, averaging 22-24°C historically. Scenarios challenging this include sensor recalibration revisions or METAR data disputes, though official validations render them highly improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Madrid on May 1?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 1?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$114,271 交易量
$114,271 交易量
2026-05-01
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$114,271 交易量
$114,271 交易量
2026-05-01
19°C or below
$4,299 交易量
No
20°C
$2,591 交易量
No
21°C
$4,667 交易量
No
22°C
$5,401 交易量
No
23°C
$9,439 交易量
No
24°C
$20,160 交易量
No
25°C
$18,292 交易量
Yes
26°C
$14,895 交易量
No
27°C
$13,619 交易量
No
28°C
$12,228 交易量
No
29°C or higher
$8,682 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground historical data for station LEMD, confirm a maximum temperature of 25°C on May 1, 2026—locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability with real capital at stake. This outcome reflects mild atmospheric conditions under a persistent high-pressure ridge over Iberia, featuring partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and post-morning clearing that enabled steady warming from early lows around 12°C, aligning precisely with AEMET's finalized daily summaries and pre-event ECMWF model ensembles projecting 24-26°C highs. Early May climatology supports such moderate peaks, averaging 22-24°C historically. Scenarios challenging this include sensor recalibration revisions or METAR data disputes, though official validations render them highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 29, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
交易量
$114,271结束日期
2026-05-01市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 12:19 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground historical data for station LEMD, confirm a maximum temperature of 25°C on May 1, 2026—locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability with real capital at stake. This outcome reflects mild atmospheric conditions under a persistent high-pressure ridge over Iberia, featuring partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and post-morning clearing that enabled steady warming from early lows around 12°C, aligning precisely with AEMET's finalized daily summaries and pre-event ECMWF model ensembles projecting 24-26°C highs. Early May climatology supports such moderate peaks, averaging 22-24°C historically. Scenarios challenging this include sensor recalibration revisions or METAR data disputes, though official validations render them highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$114,271结束日期
2026-05-01市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 12:19 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground historical data for station LEMD, confirm a maximum temperature of 25°C on May 1, 2026—locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability with real capital at stake. This outcome reflects mild atmospheric conditions under a persistent high-pressure ridge over Iberia, featuring partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and post-morning clearing that enabled steady warming from early lows around 12°C, aligning precisely with AEMET's finalized daily summaries and pre-event ECMWF model ensembles projecting 24-26°C highs. Early May climatology supports such moderate peaks, averaging 22-24°C historically. Scenarios challenging this include sensor recalibration revisions or METAR data disputes, though official validations render them highly improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题