Latest forecast guidance from NWS and ensemble models points to mostly sunny conditions with light northerly flow limiting the typical marine layer, supporting trader consensus around 82–85°F as the likely peak on July 15. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on the precise timing and strength of any afternoon sea breeze off Puget Sound versus sustained offshore warming, along with minor variations in 500 mb heights and surface pressure gradients. Historical July normals near 77–79°F provide context, but recent model runs show a modest warm bias persisting through mid-month. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月15日西雅图最高温度？
7月15日西雅图最高温度？
82-83°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$49,650 交易量
$49,650 交易量
2026-07-15
75°F or below
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$49,650 交易量
$49,650 交易量
2026-07-15
75°F or below
$2,122 交易量
No
76-77°F
$668 交易量
No
78-79°F
$4,083 交易量
No
80-81°F
$17,399 交易量
No
82-83°F
$5,844 交易量
Yes
84-85°F
$7,799 交易量
No
86-87°F
$4,180 交易量
No
88-89°F
$2,284 交易量
No
90-91°F
$2,409 交易量
No
92-93°F
$2,000 交易量
No
94°F or higher
$862 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from NWS and ensemble models points to mostly sunny conditions with light northerly flow limiting the typical marine layer, supporting trader consensus around 82–85°F as the likely peak on July 15. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on the precise timing and strength of any afternoon sea breeze off Puget Sound versus sustained offshore warming, along with minor variations in 500 mb heights and surface pressure gradients. Historical July normals near 77–79°F provide context, but recent model runs show a modest warm bias persisting through mid-month. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
交易量
$49,650结束日期
2026-07-15市场开放时间
Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from NWS and ensemble models points to mostly sunny conditions with light northerly flow limiting the typical marine layer, supporting trader consensus around 82–85°F as the likely peak on July 15. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on the precise timing and strength of any afternoon sea breeze off Puget Sound versus sustained offshore warming, along with minor variations in 500 mb heights and surface pressure gradients. Historical July normals near 77–79°F provide context, but recent model runs show a modest warm bias persisting through mid-month. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$49,650结束日期
2026-07-15市场开放时间
Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Latest forecast guidance from NWS and ensemble models points to mostly sunny conditions with light northerly flow limiting the typical marine layer, supporting trader consensus around 82–85°F as the likely peak on July 15. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on the precise timing and strength of any afternoon sea breeze off Puget Sound versus sustained offshore warming, along with minor variations in 500 mb heights and surface pressure gradients. Historical July normals near 77–79°F provide context, but recent model runs show a modest warm bias persisting through mid-month. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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