PAGASA's latest forecast projects a 34°C high for Metro Manila on April 16 under a ridge of high pressure extending clear skies and easterly winds that enhance solar insolation during the dry hot season, yet market-implied odds remain tightly clustered around 32–38°C at roughly equal 26% probabilities, underscoring scientific uncertainty from varying forecast models and local factors. Partly cloudy conditions with 0–20% rain chance could trigger isolated thunderstorms, potentially limiting peak heating, while Manila's urban heat island effect often amplifies observed temperatures beyond rural baselines. Historical mid-April highs average 33–34°C, with extremes to 38°C during similar high-pressure setups; traders await hourly observations from PAGASA's Science Garden station for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Manila on April 16?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 16?
31°C 30%
34°C 30%
35°C 29%
33°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
29°C or below
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
30%
32°C
25%
33°C
27%
34°C
30%
35°C
29%
36°C
26%
37°C
26%
38°C
26%
39°C or higher
11%
31°C 30%
34°C 30%
35°C 29%
33°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
29°C or below
$189 交易量
2%
30°C
$187 交易量
1%
31°C
$187 交易量
30%
32°C
$7 交易量
25%
33°C
$0 交易量
27%
34°C
$0 交易量
30%
35°C
$0 交易量
29%
36°C
$0 交易量
26%
37°C
$0 交易量
26%
38°C
$0 交易量
26%
39°C or higher
$0 交易量
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest forecast projects a 34°C high for Metro Manila on April 16 under a ridge of high pressure extending clear skies and easterly winds that enhance solar insolation during the dry hot season, yet market-implied odds remain tightly clustered around 32–38°C at roughly equal 26% probabilities, underscoring scientific uncertainty from varying forecast models and local factors. Partly cloudy conditions with 0–20% rain chance could trigger isolated thunderstorms, potentially limiting peak heating, while Manila's urban heat island effect often amplifies observed temperatures beyond rural baselines. Historical mid-April highs average 33–34°C, with extremes to 38°C during similar high-pressure setups; traders await hourly observations from PAGASA's Science Garden station for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
交易量
$571结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest forecast projects a 34°C high for Metro Manila on April 16 under a ridge of high pressure extending clear skies and easterly winds that enhance solar insolation during the dry hot season, yet market-implied odds remain tightly clustered around 32–38°C at roughly equal 26% probabilities, underscoring scientific uncertainty from varying forecast models and local factors. Partly cloudy conditions with 0–20% rain chance could trigger isolated thunderstorms, potentially limiting peak heating, while Manila's urban heat island effect often amplifies observed temperatures beyond rural baselines. Historical mid-April highs average 33–34°C, with extremes to 38°C during similar high-pressure setups; traders await hourly observations from PAGASA's Science Garden station for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$571结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ETPAGASA's latest forecast projects a 34°C high for Metro Manila on April 16 under a ridge of high pressure extending clear skies and easterly winds that enhance solar insolation during the dry hot season, yet market-implied odds remain tightly clustered around 32–38°C at roughly equal 26% probabilities, underscoring scientific uncertainty from varying forecast models and local factors. Partly cloudy conditions with 0–20% rain chance could trigger isolated thunderstorms, potentially limiting peak heating, while Manila's urban heat island effect often amplifies observed temperatures beyond rural baselines. Historical mid-April highs average 33–34°C, with extremes to 38°C during similar high-pressure setups; traders await hourly observations from PAGASA's Science Garden station for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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