PAGASA's latest Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model runs and official observations for Port Area, Manila—the key station for resolution—pinpoint today's high at exactly 36°C, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on that outcome. Mid-afternoon automated station data from Science Garden and nearby sites peaked at 36°C under partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and 0% rain chance, aligning with typical late-April dry-season heating in Metro Manila where highs average 34-37°C. Isolated showers pose minimal cooling risk, but a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected prolonged clear skies or measurement revisions pushing a late spike to 37°C, though model consensus and current trends make this unlikely ahead of evening's final PAGASA report.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Manila on April 24?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 24?
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$42,029 交易量
$42,029 交易量
2026-04-24
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$42,029 交易量
$42,029 交易量
2026-04-24
29°C or below
$1,500 交易量
No
30°C
$1,408 交易量
No
31°C
$1,662 交易量
No
32°C
$4,365 交易量
No
33°C
$5,511 交易量
No
34°C
$5,112 交易量
No
35°C
$4,805 交易量
No
36°C
$7,560 交易量
Yes
37°C
$4,840 交易量
No
38°C
$3,491 交易量
No
39°C or higher
$1,774 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model runs and official observations for Port Area, Manila—the key station for resolution—pinpoint today's high at exactly 36°C, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on that outcome. Mid-afternoon automated station data from Science Garden and nearby sites peaked at 36°C under partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and 0% rain chance, aligning with typical late-April dry-season heating in Metro Manila where highs average 34-37°C. Isolated showers pose minimal cooling risk, but a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected prolonged clear skies or measurement revisions pushing a late spike to 37°C, though model consensus and current trends make this unlikely ahead of evening's final PAGASA report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 22, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
交易量
$42,029结束日期
2026-04-24市场开放时间
Apr 22, 2026, 12:10 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model runs and official observations for Port Area, Manila—the key station for resolution—pinpoint today's high at exactly 36°C, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on that outcome. Mid-afternoon automated station data from Science Garden and nearby sites peaked at 36°C under partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and 0% rain chance, aligning with typical late-April dry-season heating in Metro Manila where highs average 34-37°C. Isolated showers pose minimal cooling risk, but a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected prolonged clear skies or measurement revisions pushing a late spike to 37°C, though model consensus and current trends make this unlikely ahead of evening's final PAGASA report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$42,029结束日期
2026-04-24市场开放时间
Apr 22, 2026, 12:10 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
PAGASA's latest Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model runs and official observations for Port Area, Manila—the key station for resolution—pinpoint today's high at exactly 36°C, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on that outcome. Mid-afternoon automated station data from Science Garden and nearby sites peaked at 36°C under partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and 0% rain chance, aligning with typical late-April dry-season heating in Metro Manila where highs average 34-37°C. Isolated showers pose minimal cooling risk, but a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected prolonged clear skies or measurement revisions pushing a late spike to 37°C, though model consensus and current trends make this unlikely ahead of evening's final PAGASA report.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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