Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila show a 32°C high on July 16 amid the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain probability, anchoring trader consensus around 32–34°C outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from habagat moisture limit surface heating by reducing solar insolation, while high humidity and light winds suppress diurnal temperature rises typical of drier periods. Historical July averages near 31°C provide context, yet model consensus highlights variability from convective timing—brief sun breaks could push peaks to 34°C, whereas sustained rainfall keeps readings closer to 32°C. Updated agency guidance and satellite observations of monsoon strength will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月16日马尼拉的最高温度？
7月16日马尼拉的最高温度？
33°C 100.0%
27°C或以下 <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$36,173 交易量
$36,173 交易量
2026-07-16
27°C或以下
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
是
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C或更高
否
33°C 100.0%
27°C或以下 <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$36,173 交易量
$36,173 交易量
2026-07-16
27°C或以下
$431 交易量
否
28°C
$1,305 交易量
否
29°C
$1,904 交易量
否
30°C
$4,078 交易量
否
31°C
$5,075 交易量
否
32°C
$3,084 交易量
否
33°C
$7,932 交易量
是
34°C
$3,773 交易量
否
35°C
$3,384 交易量
否
36°C
$3,464 交易量
否
37°C或更高
$1,743 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila show a 32°C high on July 16 amid the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain probability, anchoring trader consensus around 32–34°C outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from habagat moisture limit surface heating by reducing solar insolation, while high humidity and light winds suppress diurnal temperature rises typical of drier periods. Historical July averages near 31°C provide context, yet model consensus highlights variability from convective timing—brief sun breaks could push peaks to 34°C, whereas sustained rainfall keeps readings closer to 32°C. Updated agency guidance and satellite observations of monsoon strength will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$36,173结束日期
2026-07-16市场开放时间
Jul 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila show a 32°C high on July 16 amid the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain probability, anchoring trader consensus around 32–34°C outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from habagat moisture limit surface heating by reducing solar insolation, while high humidity and light winds suppress diurnal temperature rises typical of drier periods. Historical July averages near 31°C provide context, yet model consensus highlights variability from convective timing—brief sun breaks could push peaks to 34°C, whereas sustained rainfall keeps readings closer to 32°C. Updated agency guidance and satellite observations of monsoon strength will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$36,173结束日期
2026-07-16市场开放时间
Jul 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila show a 32°C high on July 16 amid the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain probability, anchoring trader consensus around 32–34°C outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from habagat moisture limit surface heating by reducing solar insolation, while high humidity and light winds suppress diurnal temperature rises typical of drier periods. Historical July averages near 31°C provide context, yet model consensus highlights variability from convective timing—brief sun breaks could push peaks to 34°C, whereas sustained rainfall keeps readings closer to 32°C. Updated agency guidance and satellite observations of monsoon strength will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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