PAGASA's official forecast for July 2 in Manila calls for a 32°C maximum under southwest monsoon (Habagat) conditions with 60% rain chance, anchoring trader focus near the 30–32°C cluster. Typical July highs average 31–32°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection that can suppress peaks through cloud cover and showers, while Manila's urban heat island occasionally adds 1°C locally. An emerging El Niño may tilt seasonal rainfall patterns drier later in the year, but short-term steering and timing of monsoon bursts introduce the main uncertainty. This keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched, as traders weigh model consensus against variability in exact peak timing and intensity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月2日马尼拉的最高温度？
7月2日马尼拉的最高温度？
35°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$70,227 交易量
$70,227 交易量
2026-07-02
26°C或以下
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
是
36°C或更高
否
35°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$70,227 交易量
$70,227 交易量
2026-07-02
26°C或以下
$3,044 交易量
否
27°C
$2,357 交易量
否
28°C
$3,580 交易量
否
29°C
$5,379 交易量
否
30°C
$6,053 交易量
否
31°C
$4,796 交易量
否
32°C
$6,602 交易量
否
33°C
$8,991 交易量
否
34°C
$11,238 交易量
否
35°C
$9,554 交易量
是
36°C或更高
$8,633 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's official forecast for July 2 in Manila calls for a 32°C maximum under southwest monsoon (Habagat) conditions with 60% rain chance, anchoring trader focus near the 30–32°C cluster. Typical July highs average 31–32°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection that can suppress peaks through cloud cover and showers, while Manila's urban heat island occasionally adds 1°C locally. An emerging El Niño may tilt seasonal rainfall patterns drier later in the year, but short-term steering and timing of monsoon bursts introduce the main uncertainty. This keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched, as traders weigh model consensus against variability in exact peak timing and intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$70,227结束日期
2026-07-02市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's official forecast for July 2 in Manila calls for a 32°C maximum under southwest monsoon (Habagat) conditions with 60% rain chance, anchoring trader focus near the 30–32°C cluster. Typical July highs average 31–32°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection that can suppress peaks through cloud cover and showers, while Manila's urban heat island occasionally adds 1°C locally. An emerging El Niño may tilt seasonal rainfall patterns drier later in the year, but short-term steering and timing of monsoon bursts introduce the main uncertainty. This keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched, as traders weigh model consensus against variability in exact peak timing and intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$70,227结束日期
2026-07-02市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
PAGASA's official forecast for July 2 in Manila calls for a 32°C maximum under southwest monsoon (Habagat) conditions with 60% rain chance, anchoring trader focus near the 30–32°C cluster. Typical July highs average 31–32°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection that can suppress peaks through cloud cover and showers, while Manila's urban heat island occasionally adds 1°C locally. An emerging El Niño may tilt seasonal rainfall patterns drier later in the year, but short-term steering and timing of monsoon bursts introduce the main uncertainty. This keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched, as traders weigh model consensus against variability in exact peak timing and intensity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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